Bahia vs Palmeiras: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

1-0

28/09/2025 19:00

Palmeiras

L D D L W

2nd place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Palmeiras on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Palmeiras preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Palmeiras sit 2nd with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Palmeiras to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Palmeiras, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bahia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-09-28

Bahia vs Palmeiras - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Palmeiras

2025-09-28 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

27/04/2025 21:30

Palmeiras

0 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

20/11/2024 21:00

Bahia

1 - 2

Palmeiras

BRA D1

07/07/2024 21:30

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

28/10/2023 22:00

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

22/06/2023 00:30

Bahia

1 - 0

Palmeiras

BRA D1

13/10/2021 00:30

Bahia

0 - 0

Palmeiras

BRA D1

Bahia

33%

Draw

17%

Palmeiras

50%

Bahia Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 21:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

15/09/2025 23:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA D1

10/09/2025 22:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia Copa do Brasil

06/09/2025 20:30

Bahia 5 - 0 Confianca SE BRA CNF

04/09/2025 00:30

Confianca SE 1 - 4 Bahia BRA CNF

31/08/2025 21:30

Mirassol 5 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Palmeiras

21/09/2025 00:00

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Fortaleza BRA D1

18/09/2025 00:30

River Plate 1 - 2 Palmeiras CON CLA

13/09/2025 21:30

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Internacional RS BRA D1

31/08/2025 21:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 1 Palmeiras BRA D1

25/08/2025 22:00

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Sport Club do Recife BRA D1

22/08/2025 00:30

Palmeiras 0 - 0 Universitario De Deportes CON CLA

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

282

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

154 (51%)146 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

185 (62%)115 (38%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Palmeiras

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Palmeiras

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Palmeiras

Total shots

14.41 avg / game

Blocked

810 total

Avg. 3.75

Bahia Pass Palmeiras

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

104571

Avg. 376 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

300

Played games

Palmeiras

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

135

0.45

5.12

1537

Corners

1739

5.80

8.27

2481

Throw-ins

4031

13.44

0.93

280

Offsides

554

1.85

1.82

545

GK saves

751

2.50

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Palmeiras

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.88

563

519

1.73

0.09

0.07

8.15

2444

Fouls

3581

11.94

8.77

2632

Tackles

3670

12.23

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Palmeiras on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Palmeiras Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Palmeiras's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Palmeiras sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Brazil Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less