Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Bahia

W W W W W

3rd place in Group F

1-3

07/05/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W D W W

4th place in Group F

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo on 07 May 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 3rd with 7 points after 6 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 4th with 7 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-05-07

Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Nacional Montevideo

2025-05-07 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2025

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Internacional RS	11	6	3	2	1	12	8	4
02 Atletico Nacional Medellin	9	6	3	0	3	7	6	1
03 Bahia	7	6	2	1	3	5	7	-2
04 Nacional Montevideo	7	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3

Head To Head

09/04/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 1

Bahia

CON CLA

Bahia

100%

Draw

Nacional Montevideo

Bahia Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 20:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Botafogo RJ BRA D1

30/04/2025 20:30

SC Paysandu Para 0 - 1 Bahia Copa do Brasil

27/04/2025 17:30

Palmeiras 0 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

24/04/2025 20:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin CON CLA

21/04/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Ceara BRA D1

17/04/2025 20:30

Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Bahia BRA D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

03/05/2025 16:30

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

26/04/2025 19:15

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

22/04/2025 20:30

Internacional RS 3 - 3 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

18/04/2025 15:00

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

13/04/2025 16:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

09/04/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Bahia CON CLA

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Played games

Goals

Scored

447

Avg. per game

1.49

Conceded

322

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

292

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

232 (77%)68 (23%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

235 (78%)65 (22%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.65 avg / game

Blocked

537 total

Avg. 3.29

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Bahia Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

81925

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

300

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

101

Clean sheets

119

0.40

5.16

1548

Corners

1351

4.50

8.22

2467

Throw-ins

312

1.04

0.92

277

Offsides

0.26

1.78

535

GK saves

447

1.49

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

567

704

2.35

0.09

0.14

8.12

2435

Fouls

636

2.12

8.74

2621

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo on 07 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Copa Libertadores Predictions

Find every upcoming Copa Libertadores fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less