Bahia vs Mirassol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol on 11 October 2026 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Mirassol preview before placing your bet.

Prediction Match Centre

Brazil Serie A

Bahia

DDLDL

6th place in Brazil Serie A

Prediction unavailable

? - ?

11/10/2026 20:00

Mirassol

LWDLW

19th place in Brazil Serie A

Bahia will face Mirassol in Brazil Serie A on October 11, 2026 at 20:00.

Bahia are currently 6th with 26 points after 17 matches.

Mirassol sit 19th with 16 points from 17 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	41	18	12	5	1	30	13	17
02 Flamengo	34	17	10	4	3	31	16	15
03 Fluminense RJ	31	18	9	4	5	28	23	5
04 Atletico Paranaense	30	18	9	3	6	24	18	6
05 Bragantino	29	18	9	2	7	25	19	6
06 Bahia	26	17	7	5	5	25	23	2
07 Coritiba PR	26	18	7	5	6	24	24	0
08 Sao Paulo	25	18	7	4	7	23	20	3
09 Atletico Mineiro	24	18	7	3	8	22	23	-1
10 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	24	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1
11 Cruzeiro	24	18	6	6	6	24	28	-4
12 Botafogo RJ	22	17	6	4	7	31	31	0
13 Vitoria BA	22	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4
14 Internacional RS	21	18	5	6	7	21	22	-1
15 Santos	21	18	5	6	7	26	29	-3
16 Gremio (RS)	21	18	5	6	7	20	23	-3
17 Vasco da Gama	20	18	5	5	8	22	29	-7
18 Remo Belem (PA)	18	18	4	6	8	21	29	-8
19 Mirassol	16	17	4	4	9	18	24	-6
20 Chapecoense SC	9	17	1	6	10	17	33	-16

Bahia

Last 6 matches

31/05/2026 03:30

Bahia 2 - 1 Botafogo RJ

Brazil Serie A

26/05/2026 06:00

Coritiba PR 3 - 2 Bahia

Brazil Serie A

18/05/2026 02:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio (RS)

Brazil Serie A

10/05/2026 07:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

Brazil Serie A

04/05/2026 02:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia

Brazil Serie A

26/04/2026 04:30

Bahia 2 - 2 Santos

Brazil Serie A

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches

Mirassol

31/05/2026 02:00

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Mirassol

Brazil Serie A

27/05/2026 05:00

Lanus 1 - 0 Mirassol

Copa Libertadores

24/05/2026 05:00

Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense RJ

Brazil Serie A

20/05/2026 07:00

Always Ready 1 - 2 Mirassol

Copa Libertadores

17/05/2026 04:30

Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol

Brazil Serie A

11/05/2026 04:30

Mirassol 1 - 1 Chapecoense SC

Brazil Serie A

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Bahia

Mirassol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 matches

YesNo

16 (94%)1 (6%)

In last 17 matches

NoYes

11 (65%)6 (35%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Mirassol

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

/Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Mirassol

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.41 avg / game

Blocked

54 total

Avg. 3.18

Mirassol

Total shots

11.50 avg / game

Blocked

42 total

Avg. 2.63

Bahia

Pass

Mirassol

Total passes

6309

Avg. 371 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

5283

Avg. 330 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Bahia

1356

Avg. 79.76 / game

Mirassol

1164

Avg. 68.47 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Bahia

662

Avg. 38.94 / game

Mirassol

572

Avg. 33.65 / game

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Mirassol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.06

5.06

Corners

4.12

15.59

265

Throw-ins

256

15.06

1.29

Offsides

1.00

2.94

GK saves

2.29

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Mirassol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.94

1.82

0.12

0.06

12.53

213

Fouls

161

9.47

8.65

147

Tackles

5.59

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol on 11 October 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Mirassol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mirassol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Mirassol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.