Bahia vs Mirassol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Prediction

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

? - ?

11/10/2026 16:00

Mirassol

L W L W D

14th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol on 11 October 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Mirassol preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 5th with 32 points after 21 matches.
Mirassol sit 14th with 23 points from 20 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Bahia Last 6 matches

30/07/2026 07:30

Fluminense RJ 0 - 0 Bahia Brazil Serie A

27/07/2026 02:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) Brazil Serie A

22/07/2026 05:30

Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia Brazil Serie A

18/07/2026 05:30

Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense SC Brazil Serie A

13/07/2026 02:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 21:00

Bahia 4 - 1 Montevideo City Torque International Club Friendly

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Mirassol

30/07/2026 05:30

Mirassol 2 - 1 Remo Belem (PA) Brazil Serie A

26/07/2026 06:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Mirassol Brazil Serie A

18/07/2026 06:00

Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio (RS) Brazil Serie A

31/05/2026 02:00

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Mirassol Brazil Serie A

27/05/2026 05:00

Lanus 1 - 0 Mirassol Copa Libertadores

24/05/2026 05:00

Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense RJ Brazil Serie A

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Bahia

Mirassol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.38

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored

Avg. per game

1.15

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 21 matches

YesNo

19 (90%)2 (10%)

In last 21 matches

NoYes

14 (70%)6 (30%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Mirassol

Under /Over

(86%)18 3(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)13 7(35%)

Under /Over

(43%)9 12(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

Under /Over

(38%)8 13(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)7 13(65%)

/Yes

(67%)14 7(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)13 7(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Mirassol

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.95 avg / game

Blocked

72 total

Avg. 3.43

Mirassol

Total shots

11.37 avg / game

Blocked

48 total

Avg. 2.53

Bahia Pass Mirassol

Total passes

8080

Avg. 385 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

6451

Avg. 340 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

Played games

Mirassol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.05

5.14

108

Corners

4.30

15.86

333

Throw-ins

343

17.15

1.33

Offsides

1.00

3.14

GK saves

2.30

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Mirassol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

1.75

0.10

0.05

12.76

268

Fouls

197

9.85

8.76

184

Tackles

126

6.30

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

How We Build the Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Mirassol on 11 October 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Mirassol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mirassol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Mirassol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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