Bahia vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Bahia
LWWDD
5th place in Brazil Serie A
1 - 1
FT
17/05/2026 15:00
Gremio (RS)
LDWLL
17th place in Brazil Serie A
Brazil Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

  • Bahia are currently 5th with 32 points after 21 matches.
  • Gremio (RS) sit 17th with 22 points from 20 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Gremio (RS) have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team
Away team
Prob. %
Pred
Correct
score
Avg.
goals
Coef.
Score
Weather

Brazil Serie A

17.05.2026
favorite match
15:00 2026-05-17
Bahia
Gremio (RS)
2026-05-17 15:00
55% Carlos Vinicius Alves Morais
39% Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
28% Erick Da Costa Farias
1 - 1
2.00
4.33
FT
1 - 1
weather 25℃～26℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Palmeiras Palmeiras
47 21 14 5 2 38 16 22
02 Flamengo Flamengo
39 20 11 6 3 37 18 19
03 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
37 21 11 4 6 28 19 9
04 Fluminense RJ Fluminense RJ
34 21 9 7 5 30 25 5
05 Bahia Bahia
32 21 8 8 5 29 25 4
06 Bragantino Bragantino
31 20 9 4 7 26 20 6
07 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
30 21 8 6 7 27 30 -3
08 Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
29 20 8 5 7 34 32 2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP) Corinthians Paulista (SP)
29 21 7 8 6 22 20 2
10 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
28 20 8 4 8 25 25 0
11 Coritiba PR Coritiba PR
27 21 7 6 8 25 28 -3
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
26 20 7 5 8 25 23 2
13 Vitoria BA Vitoria BA
26 21 7 5 9 22 31 -9
14 Mirassol Mirassol
23 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4
15 Santos Santos
22 20 5 7 8 29 33 -4
16 Internacional RS Internacional RS
22 21 5 7 9 23 27 -4
17 Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
22 20 5 7 8 22 26 -4
18 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
21 20 5 6 9 23 31 -8
19 Remo Belem (PA) Remo Belem (PA)
21 21 5 6 10 24 34 -10
20 Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC
10 20 1 7 12 19 41 -22
Head To Head
19/10/2025 19:30
Bahia Bahia
4 - 0
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
BRA D1
25/05/2025 10:00
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
1 - 0
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
17/08/2024 15:00
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
0 - 2
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
27/04/2024 20:00
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
BRA D1
04/11/2023 18:30
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
1 - 0
Bahia Bahia
BRA D1
12/07/2023 19:00
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
1 - 1
Bahia Bahia
Copa do Brasil
Bahia
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
Gremio (RS)
2
33%
Bahia Bahia Last 6 matches
13/05/2026 20:30
Remo Belem (PA) 2 - 1 Bahia Copa do Brasil
09/05/2026 20:00
Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA D1
03/05/2026 15:00
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia BRA D1
25/04/2026 17:30
Bahia 2 - 2 Santos BRA D1
22/04/2026 18:00
Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA) Copa do Brasil
19/04/2026 18:30
Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia BRA D1
Win
0%
Draw
33%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
14/05/2026 18:00
Confianca SE 0 - 3 Gremio (RS) Copa do Brasil
10/05/2026 18:30
Gremio (RS) 0 - 1 Flamengo BRA D1
05/05/2026 18:00
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio (RS) CON CSA
02/05/2026 19:30
Atletico Paranaense 0 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1
29/04/2026 20:30
Palestino 0 - 0 Gremio (RS) CON CSA
26/04/2026 15:00
Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Coritiba PR BRA D1
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Brazil Serie A
Played games
Bahia
Bahia
21
 Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
20
Goals
Scored
29
Avg. per game
1.38
Conceded
25
Avg. per game
1.19
Scored
22
Avg. per game
1.10
Conceded
26
Avg. per game
1.30
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 21 matches
YesNo
19 (90%)2 (10%)
In last 21 matches
NoYes
14 (70%)6 (30%)
Bahia

Bahia

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(86%)18 3(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(43%)9 12(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

Under /Over

(38%)8 13(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

/Yes

(67%)14 7(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)12 8(40%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Bahia Bahia
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
Shots
Bahia
Bahia
Total shots
12.95 avg / game
Blocked
72 total
Avg. 3.43
Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
Total shots
8.85 avg / game
Blocked
51 total
Avg. 2.83
Bahia Bahia Pass Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
Total passes
8080
Avg. 385 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
6226
Avg. 311 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Bahia
Bahia
1721
Avg. 81.95 / game
 Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
1282
Avg. 64.10 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Bahia
Bahia
864
Avg. 41.14 / game
 Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
597
Avg. 29.85 / game
OTHERS
Bahia
Bahia
21
Played games
Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
20
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
6
Clean sheets
5
0.25
5.14
108
Corners
64
3.20
15.86
333
Throw-ins
242
12.10
1.33
28
Offsides
28
1.40
3.14
66
GK saves
48
2.40
Bahia
Bahia
DISCIPLINARY
Gremio (RS)
Gremio (RS)
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.86
39
Yellow card
35
1.75
0.10
2
Red card
2
0.10
12.76
268
Fouls
211
10.55
8.76
184
Tackles
152
7.60
NEXT MATCHES
08/09
Bahia Bahia
VS
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
BRA
08/16
Chapecoense SC Chapecoense SC
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
08/23
Vitoria BA Vitoria BA
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
08/30
Bahia Bahia
VS
Internacional RS Internacional RS
BRA
09/06
Bragantino Bragantino
VS
Bahia Bahia
BRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/02
Mirassol Mirassol
VS
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
BRA
08/05
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
VS
Mirassol Mirassol
BRA
08/08
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
VS
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
BRA
08/15
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
VS
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
BRA
08/23
Bragantino Bragantino
VS
Gremio (RS) Gremio (RS)
BRA

How We Build the Bahia vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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