Bahia vs Gremio (RS): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

1-1

17/05/2026 15:00

Gremio (RS)

L D W L L

17th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Gremio (RS) preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 5th with 32 points after 21 matches.
Gremio (RS) sit 17th with 22 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bahia to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Gremio (RS) have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-17

Bahia vs Gremio (RS) - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Gremio (RS)

2026-05-17 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

19/10/2025 19:30

Bahia

4 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

25/05/2025 10:00

Gremio (RS)

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

17/08/2024 15:00

Gremio (RS)

0 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

27/04/2024 20:00

Bahia

1 - 0

Gremio (RS)

BRA D1

04/11/2023 18:30

Gremio (RS)

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

12/07/2023 19:00

Gremio (RS)

1 - 1

Bahia

Copa do Brasil

Bahia

50%

Draw

17%

Gremio (RS)

33%

Bahia Last 6 matches

13/05/2026 20:30

Remo Belem (PA) 2 - 1 Bahia Copa do Brasil

09/05/2026 20:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA D1

03/05/2026 15:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

25/04/2026 17:30

Bahia 2 - 2 Santos BRA D1

22/04/2026 18:00

Bahia 1 - 3 Remo Belem (PA) Copa do Brasil

19/04/2026 18:30

Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia BRA D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Gremio (RS)

14/05/2026 18:00

Confianca SE 0 - 3 Gremio (RS) Copa do Brasil

10/05/2026 18:30

Gremio (RS) 0 - 1 Flamengo BRA D1

05/05/2026 18:00

Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio (RS) CON CSA

02/05/2026 19:30

Atletico Paranaense 0 - 0 Gremio (RS) BRA D1

29/04/2026 20:30

Palestino 0 - 0 Gremio (RS) CON CSA

26/04/2026 15:00

Gremio (RS) 1 - 0 Coritiba PR BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

154 (51%)146 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

169 (56%)131 (44%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Gremio (RS)

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Gremio (RS)

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Gremio (RS)

Total shots

11.12 avg / game

Blocked

511 total

Avg. 3.02

Bahia Pass Gremio (RS)

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

83202

Avg. 363 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

300

Played games

Gremio (RS)

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

101

0.34

5.12

1537

Corners

1412

4.71

8.27

2481

Throw-ins

3183

10.61

0.93

280

Offsides

291

0.97

1.82

545

GK saves

638

2.13

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio (RS)

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.88

563

593

1.98

0.09

0.12

8.15

2444

Fouls

2801

9.34

8.77

2632

Tackles

3046

10.15

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Gremio (RS) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Gremio (RS) on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Gremio (RS) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio (RS)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Gremio (RS) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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