Bahia vs Flamengo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

1-0

05/10/2025 17:30

Flamengo

W L W D W

1st place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Bahia vs Flamengo preview before placing your bet.

Bahia are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Flamengo sit 1st with 79 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Flamengo to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Flamengo, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Bahia have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2025-10-05

Bahia vs Flamengo - Prediction & Odds

Bahia

Flamengo

2025-10-05 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

10/05/2025 20:00

Flamengo

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

05/10/2024 18:00

Bahia

0 - 2

Flamengo

BRA D1

12/09/2024 20:45

Flamengo

1 - 0

Bahia

Copa do Brasil

28/08/2024 20:30

Bahia

0 - 1

Flamengo

Copa do Brasil

20/06/2024 19:00

Flamengo

2 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

30/09/2023 15:00

Flamengo

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D1

Bahia

Draw

Flamengo

100%

Bahia Last 6 matches

01/10/2025 20:30

Botafogo RJ 2 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

28/09/2025 15:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras BRA D1

24/09/2025 18:30

Vasco da Gama 3 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

20/09/2025 17:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

15/09/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA D1

10/09/2025 18:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia Copa do Brasil

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Flamengo

02/10/2025 19:30

Flamengo 0 - 0 Cruzeiro BRA D1

28/09/2025 19:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 2 Flamengo BRA D1

25/09/2025 20:30

Estudiantes La Plata 1 - 0 Flamengo CON CLA

21/09/2025 16:30

Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

18/09/2025 20:30

Flamengo 2 - 1 Estudiantes La Plata CON CLA

14/09/2025 15:00

Juventude 0 - 2 Flamengo BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Played games

Goals

Scored

445

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

319

Avg. per game

1.06

Scored

514

Avg. per game

1.71

Conceded

248

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

231 (77%)69 (23%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

248 (83%)52 (17%)

Bahia

Recent matches

Flamengo

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Bahia

Flamengo

Shots

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Flamengo

Total shots

13.06 avg / game

Blocked

650 total

Avg. 3.37

Bahia Pass Flamengo

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

113434

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Bahia

300

Played games

Flamengo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

102

Clean sheets

137

0.46

5.12

1537

Corners

1605

5.35

8.27

2481

Throw-ins

3387

11.29

0.93

280

Offsides

312

1.04

1.82

545

GK saves

599

2.00

Bahia

DISCIPLINARY

Flamengo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.88

563

565

1.88

0.09

0.10

8.15

2444

Fouls

2871

9.57

8.77

2632

Tackles

2959

9.86

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Bahia vs Flamengo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Bahia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Flamengo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Bahia and Flamengo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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