Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Baglan Dragons

L L D L L

14th place in South

0-5

14/03/2026 10:00

Caerau Ely

W W D W W

4th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely on 14 March 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely preview before placing your bet.

Baglan Dragons will face Caerau Ely in Wales FAW Championship on March 14, 2026 at 10:00.
Baglan Dragons are currently 14th with 25 points after 30 matches.
Caerau Ely sit 4th with 57 points from 30 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.75.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-03-14

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely - Prediction & Odds

Baglan Dragons

Caerau Ely

2026-03-14 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

17/09/2025 14:30

Caerau Ely

2 - 1

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

11/01/2025 10:00

Baglan Dragons

2 - 1

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

01/11/2024 15:30

Caerau Ely

2 - 1

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

20/01/2024 10:00

Baglan Dragons

2 - 0

Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

06/10/2023 14:30

Caerau Ely

3 - 0

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

Caerau Ely

100%

Draw

Baglan Dragons

Baglan Dragons Last 6 matches

06/03/2026 15:30

Newport City 1 - 2 Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

21/02/2026 10:00

Pontypridd 2 - 0 Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

17/02/2026 15:30

Trefelin 3 - 0 Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

14/02/2026 10:00

Cardiff Draconians FC 3 - 1 Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

07/02/2026 10:00

Baglan Dragons 0 - 1 Aberystwyth Town

WAL FAWC

24/01/2026 10:00

Ynyshir Albions 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Caerau Ely

01/03/2026 10:30

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 4 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

21/02/2026 10:00

Caerau Ely 3 - 4 Carmarthen

WAL FAWC

13/02/2026 15:45

Cambrian Clydach 3 - 0 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

07/02/2026 13:30

Caerau Ely 3 - 1 Ammanford

WAL FAWC

31/01/2026 10:00

Bangor 1876 3 - 1 Caerau Ely

WALC

23/01/2026 15:45

Trey Thomas Drossel 1 - 5 Caerau Ely

WAL FAWC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Baglan Dragons

Caerau Ely

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

13 (43%)17 (57%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

16 (53%)14 (47%)

Baglan Dragons

Recent matches

Caerau Ely

Under /Over

(70%)21 9(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(83%)25 5(17%)

Under /Over

(43%)13 17(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)11 19(63%)

Under /Over

(33%)10 20(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)16 14(47%)

/Yes

(47%)14 16(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)16 14(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Baglan Dragons

Caerau Ely

Shots

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

8.68 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caerau Ely

Total shots

13.23 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons Pass Caerau Ely

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Baglan Dragons

Played games

Caerau Ely

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.40

3.67

110

Corners

176

5.87

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.37

Offsides

1.57

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Baglan Dragons

DISCIPLINARY

Caerau Ely

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

1.80

0.20

0.13

4.97

149

Fouls

163

5.43

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Baglan Dragons's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caerau Ely's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Baglan Dragons and Caerau Ely sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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