AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: Starting Lineups Time : 17/05/2026 08:30

AZ Alkmaar
3 - 3
Finished
NAC Breda
90' event Mexx Meerdink
85' event Mexx Meerdink
70' event Ayoub Oufkir / Ro-Zangelo Daal
70' event Kasper Boogaard / Jordy Clasie
57' event Patati Weslley / Isak Jensen
57' event Denso Kasius / Mateo Chavez Garcia
37' event Mexx Meerdink / Troy Parrott
12' event Mateo Chavez Garcia
8' event Sven Mijnans
event 89' Juho Talvitie
event 71' Moussa Soumano
event 68' Lewis Holtby / Brahim Ghalidi
event 68' Andre Ayew / Clint Franciscus Henricus Leemans
event 61' Moussa Soumano
event 59' Rio Hillen
event 55' Jayden Candelaria / Kamal Sowah
event 55' Charles Andreas Brym / Pepijn Reulen
event 55' Juho Talvitie / Enes Mahmutovic
90' event Mexx Meerdink
event 89' Juho Talvitie
85' event Mexx Meerdink
event 71' Moussa Soumano
70' event Ayoub Oufkir / Ro-Zangelo Daal
event 68' Lewis Holtby / Brahim Ghalidi
70' event Kasper Boogaard / Jordy Clasie
event 68' Andre Ayew / Clint Franciscus Henricus Leemans
57' event Patati Weslley / Isak Jensen
event 61' Moussa Soumano
57' event Denso Kasius / Mateo Chavez Garcia
event 59' Rio Hillen
37' event Mexx Meerdink / Troy Parrott
event 55' Jayden Candelaria / Kamal Sowah
12' event Mateo Chavez Garcia
event 55' Charles Andreas Brym / Pepijn Reulen
8' event Sven Mijnans
event 55' Juho Talvitie / Enes Mahmutovic
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Substitutions
#24 Ayoub Oufkir
#20 Kasper Boogaard
#30 Denso Kasius
#35 Mexx Meerdink
#7 Patati Weslley
#33 Matej Sin
#11 Ibrahim Sadiq
#2 Seiya Maikuma
#23 Billy van Duijl
#41 Jeroen Zoet
#45 Bendeguz Kovacs
#18 Rion Ichihara
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda NAC Breda
16Shots17
10Shots on Goal11
11Fouls6
7Corner Kick6
6Free kick11
1Offside3
1Yellow card1
16Aerial1
7Save7
18Successful Tackles19
2Interceptions9
28Long pass27
3Assist3
5Successful center6
4Shots off goal4
1Hit The Post0
11Head Success9
2Blocked2
10Tackle12
5Dribbles10
22Throw-in11
430Passes355
86Attacks92
60Dangerous attacks44
3Corner Kicks(HT)4
1BigChances5
0BigChancesMissed4
12ShotsInsideBox8
4ShotsOutsideBox9
40DuelsWon48
1.45ExpectedGoals2.08
1.15xGOpenPlay1.96
1.45xGNonPenalty2.08
2.5xGOT2.7
42Touches In Opposition Box20
24AccurateCrosses18
29GroundDuelsWon39
11AerialDuelsWon9
15Clearances37
NAC Breda NAC Breda
Substitutions
#7 Charles Andreas Brym
#32 Juho Talvitie
#90 Lewis Holtby
#24 Andre Ayew
#21 Jayden Candelaria
#31 Kostas Lambrou
#1 Roy Kortsmit
#4 Boy Kemper
#44 Thomas Goos
#30 Mylan Brouwers
Commentary
90' Goal! Mexx Meerdink - AZ Alkmaar
89' Goal! Juho Talvitie - NAC Breda
85' Mexx Meerdink - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
71' Goal! Moussa Soumano - NAC Breda
70' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Ayoub Oufkir / Ro-Zangelo Daal
70' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Kasper Boogaard / Jordy Clasie
68' NAC Breda — substitution: Lewis Holtby / Brahim Ghalidi
68' NAC Breda — substitution: Andre Ayew / Clint Franciscus Henricus Leemans
61' Goal! Moussa Soumano - NAC Breda
59' Rio Hillen - NAC Breda receive a yellow card
57' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Patati Weslley / Isak Jensen
57' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Denso Kasius / Mateo Chavez Garcia
55' NAC Breda — substitution: Jayden Candelaria / Kamal Sowah
55' NAC Breda — substitution: Charles Andreas Brym / Pepijn Reulen
55' NAC Breda — substitution: Juho Talvitie / Enes Mahmutovic
37' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Mexx Meerdink / Troy Parrott
12' Goal! Mateo Chavez Garcia - AZ Alkmaar
8' Goal! Sven Mijnans - AZ Alkmaar

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NAC Breda's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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