AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

AZ Alkmaar

W W D D D

7th place in Holland Eredivisie

3-3

17/05/2026 08:30

NAC Breda

D D L L W

17th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 7th with 52 points after 34 matches.
NAC Breda sit 17th with 29 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. NAC Breda have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2026-05-17

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda

2026-05-17 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

31/08/2025 10:45

NAC Breda

0 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

24/04/2025 12:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

NAC Breda

HOL D1

15/12/2024 15:00

NAC Breda

1 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

12/02/2020 13:30

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 3

NAC Breda

HOLC

08/02/2019 15:00

NAC Breda

0 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

12/08/2018 10:45

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 0

NAC Breda

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Draw

17%

NAC Breda

17%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 10:45

Feyenoord 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

03/05/2026 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 FC Twente Enschede HOL D1

23/04/2026 12:45

Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

19/04/2026 12:00

AZ Alkmaar 5 - 1 NEC Nijmegen HOLC

16/04/2026 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 FC Shakhtar Donetsk UEFA ECL

12/04/2026 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches NAC Breda

11/05/2026 08:30

NAC Breda 2 - 0 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

02/05/2026 10:30

FC Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda HOL D1

25/04/2026 14:00

NAC Breda 0 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

12/04/2026 06:15

Fortuna Sittard 1 - 1 NAC Breda HOL D1

05/04/2026 10:45

NAC Breda 0 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

21/03/2026 16:00

PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

255

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

215

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

164 (56%)129 (44%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

NAC Breda

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

NAC Breda

Total shots

11.53 avg / game

Blocked

490 total

Avg. 3.27

AZ Alkmaar Pass NAC Breda

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

80781

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

300

Played games

NAC Breda

293

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.23

5.42

1626

Corners

1421

4.85

14.13

4240

Throw-ins

1982

6.76

1.64

492

Offsides

405

1.38

2.10

629

GK saves

790

2.70

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

NAC Breda

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

476

394

1.34

0.05

0.08

9.84

2953

Fouls

2552

8.71

12.63

3788

Tackles

2810

9.59

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against NAC Breda's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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