AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV on 21 January 2026 (kick-off: 10:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV: Starting Lineups Time : 21/01/2026 10:45

AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Finished
Excelsior SBV
90+2' event Peer Koopmeiners
86' event Mateo Chavez Garcia
84' event Jizz Hornkamp / Mees de Wit
84' event Seiya Maikuma / Elijah Dijkstra
77' event Elijah Dijkstra
76' event Mateo Chavez Garcia / Kasper Boogaard
65' event Troy Parrott
63' event Ro-Zangelo Daal / Isak Jensen
46' event Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley
event 84' Adam Carlen / Lewis Schouten
event 81' Miliano Jonathans
event 78' Mike van Duinen / Jerroldino Armantrading
event 78' Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
event 78' Nolan Martens / Ilias Bronkhorst
event 67' Gyan de Regt
event 64' Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
90+2' event Peer Koopmeiners
event 84' Adam Carlen / Lewis Schouten
86' event Mateo Chavez Garcia
event 81' Miliano Jonathans
84' event Jizz Hornkamp / Mees de Wit
event 78' Mike van Duinen / Jerroldino Armantrading
84' event Seiya Maikuma / Elijah Dijkstra
event 78' Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
77' event Elijah Dijkstra
event 78' Nolan Martens / Ilias Bronkhorst
76' event Mateo Chavez Garcia / Kasper Boogaard
event 67' Gyan de Regt
65' event Troy Parrott
event 64' Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
63' event Ro-Zangelo Daal / Isak Jensen
46' event Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Substitutions
#11 Ibrahim Sadiq
#2 Seiya Maikuma
#15 Mateo Chavez Garcia
#27 Ro-Zangelo Daal
#19 Jizz Hornkamp
#33 Matej Sin
#24 Ayoub Oufkir
#23 Billy van Duijl
#31 Daniel Deen
#12 Hobie Verhulst
#4 Maxim Dekker
#56 Rio Robbemond
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV
13Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
8Fouls10
4Corner Kick5
10Free kick8
2Offside1
3Yellow card1
18Aerial28
1Save3
22Successful Tackles20
8Interceptions8
20Long pass32
0Assist1
0Successful center6
5Shots off goal4
10Head Success13
4Blocked2
14Tackle13
11Dribbles9
22Throw-in18
622Passes402
114Attacks85
58Dangerous attacks36
1Corner Kicks(HT)0
3BigChances1
2BigChancesMissed0
9ShotsInsideBox6
4ShotsOutsideBox2
52DuelsWon50
1.85ExpectedGoals1.12
1.81xGOpenPlay1.02
1.85xGNonPenalty1.12
2.03xGOT0.56
35Touches In Opposition Box23
10AccurateCrosses17
42GroundDuelsWon37
10AerialDuelsWon13
26Clearances31
Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV
Substitutions
#17 Nolan Martens
#29 Mike van Duinen
#11 Gyan de Regt
#26 Miliano Jonathans
#6 Adam Carlen
#18 Chris-Kevin Nadje
#16 Calvin Raatsie
#20 Lennard Hartjes
#15 Simon Janssen
#25 Stijn Middendorp
#5 Stan Henderikx
Commentary
90+2' Peer Koopmeiners - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
86' Mateo Chavez Garcia - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
84' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Jizz Hornkamp / Mees de Wit
84' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Seiya Maikuma / Elijah Dijkstra
84' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Adam Carlen / Lewis Schouten
81' Goal! Miliano Jonathans - Excelsior SBV
78' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Mike van Duinen / Jerroldino Armantrading
78' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
78' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Nolan Martens / Ilias Bronkhorst
77' Elijah Dijkstra - AZ Alkmaar receive a yellow card
76' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Mateo Chavez Garcia / Kasper Boogaard
67' Gyan de Regt - Excelsior SBV receive a yellow card
65' Goal! Troy Parrott - AZ Alkmaar
64' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
63' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Ro-Zangelo Daal / Isak Jensen
46' AZ Alkmaar — substitution: Ibrahim Sadiq / Patati Weslley

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV on 21 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Excelsior SBV's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior SBV sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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