AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

AZ Alkmaar

W W D D D

7th place in Holland Eredivisie

1-1

21/01/2026 13:45

Excelsior SBV

L D W W D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV on 21 January 2026 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 7th with 52 points after 34 matches.
Excelsior SBV sit 13th with 38 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 72%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Excelsior SBV have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2026-01-21

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior SBV

2026-01-21 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

13/07/2024 08:00

AZ Alkmaar

8 - 0

Excelsior SBV

INT CF

10/03/2024 07:15

AZ Alkmaar

4 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

04/11/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

10/02/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 0

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

11/01/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV

1 - 4

AZ Alkmaar

HOLC

23/10/2022 06:15

Excelsior SBV

2 - 1

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

AZ Alkmaar

67%

Draw

17%

Excelsior SBV

17%

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

17/01/2026 13:45

PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

14/01/2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 6 - 0 AFC Ajax HOLC

10/01/2026 11:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

21/12/2025 11:45

Fortuna Sittard 4 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

18/12/2025 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Bialystok UEFA ECL

11/12/2025 13:45

KF Drita Gjilan 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Excelsior SBV

17/01/2026 15:00

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 SC Telstar HOL D1

10/01/2026 15:00

PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

20/12/2025 13:45

Excelsior SBV 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

05/12/2025 15:00

Excelsior SBV 0 - 2 Groningen HOL D1

29/11/2025 11:30

Excelsior SBV 1 - 0 NAC Breda HOL D1

22/11/2025 13:45

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior SBV

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

10 (59%)7 (41%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

6 (35%)11 (65%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

Excelsior SBV

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(76%)13 4(24%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior SBV

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

16.12 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 4.44

Excelsior SBV

Total shots

13.06 avg / game

Blocked

56 total

Avg. 3.73

AZ Alkmaar Pass Excelsior SBV

Total passes

7816

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

7104

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

Played games

Excelsior SBV

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.24

5.88

100

Corners

4.18

17.65

300

Throw-ins

320

18.82

1.35

Offsides

1.35

2.82

GK saves

3.76

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

Excelsior SBV

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

1.29

0.00

0.18

9.35

159

Fouls

193

11.35

11.76

200

Tackles

155

9.12

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV on 21 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior SBV Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Excelsior SBV's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior SBV sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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