AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 October

AZ Alkmaar

W W W W D

3rd place in Group E

1-4

26/10/2023 12:45

Aston Villa

W D W W L

1st place in Group E

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa on 26 October 2023 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa preview before placing your bet.

AZ Alkmaar are currently 3rd with 6 points after 6 matches.
Aston Villa sit 1st with 13 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 44%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2023-10-26

AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa - Prediction & Odds

AZ Alkmaar

Aston Villa

2023-10-26 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2023

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aston Villa	13	6	4	1	1	12	7	5
02 Legia Warszawa	12	6	4	0	2	10	6	4
03 AZ Alkmaar	6	6	2	0	4	7	12	-5
04 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	4	6	1	1	4	6	10	-4

AZ Alkmaar Last 6 matches

21/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

08/10/2023 08:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

05/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

01/10/2023 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

28/09/2023 14:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

24/09/2023 10:45

PEC Zwolle 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Aston Villa

22/10/2023 11:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

08/10/2023 09:00

Wolves 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

05/10/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 1 - 0 HSK Zrinjski Mostar UEFA ECL

30/09/2023 07:30

Aston Villa 6 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

27/09/2023 14:45

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Everton ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Aston Villa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

2.29

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

AZ Alkmaar

Recent matches

Aston Villa

Under /Over

(60%)3 2(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(86%)6 1(14%)

Under /Over

(20%)1 4(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)3 4(57%)

Under /Over

(40%)2 3(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)4 3(43%)

/Yes

(40%)2 3(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)4 3(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

AZ Alkmaar

Aston Villa

Shots

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

14.40 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.80

Aston Villa

Total shots

15.57 avg / game

Blocked

30 total

Avg. 4.29

AZ Alkmaar Pass Aston Villa

Total passes

2505

Avg. 501 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

3460

Avg. 494 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

AZ Alkmaar

Played games

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

Clean sheets

0.43

8.60

Corners

6.71

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

4.00

Offsides

0.71

2.00

GK saves

2.43

AZ Alkmaar

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.60

1.71

0.20

0.00

11.40

Fouls

10.29

12.20

Tackles

10.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa on 26 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess AZ Alkmaar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where AZ Alkmaar and Aston Villa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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