Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 21

Atletico Nacional Medellin

D W W W L

1st place in Apertura

3-0

21/02/2026 19:20

Alianza Petrolera

D W L L D

17th place in Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera on February 21, 2026 (kick-off: 19:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera preview before placing for you.

Atletico Nacional Medellin are currently 1st with 40 points after 19 matches.
Alianza Petrolera sit 17th with 17 points from 19 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin to win with probability 70%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Nacional Medellin, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Alianza Petrolera have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:20

2026-02-21

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Alianza Petrolera

2026-02-21 19:20

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Nacional Medellin	40	19	13	1	5	35	15	20
02 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	35	19	11	2	6	31	24	7
03 Deportivo Pasto	34	19	10	4	5	29	25	4
04 America de Cali	33	19	10	3	6	25	15	10
05 Deportiva Once Caldas	33	19	8	9	2	31	22	9
06 Deportes Tolima	31	19	8	7	4	27	17	10
07 Independiente Santa Fe	29	19	7	8	4	29	22	7
08 Internacional de Bogota	28	19	7	7	5	26	26	0
09 Deportivo Cali	27	19	7	6	6	20	16	4
10 Millonarios	26	19	7	5	7	31	23	8
11 Dep.Independiente Medellin	26	19	7	5	7	26	24	2
12 Aguilas Doradas	26	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5
13 Atletico Bucaramanga	23	19	5	8	6	26	20	6
14 Llaneros FC	22	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3
15 Fortaleza F.C	22	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5
16 Jaguares de Cordoba	18	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13
17 Alianza Petrolera	17	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14
18 Boyaca Chico	17	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17
19 Cucuta	16	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13
20 Deportivo Pereira	10	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 America de Cali	9	3	3	0	0	10	0	10
02 Dep.Independiente Medellin	9	3	3	0	0	7	4	3
03 Llaneros FC	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
04 Aguilas Doradas	6	2	2	0	0	4	2	2
05 Millonarios	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
06 Deportes Tolima	6	3	2	0	1	6	5	1
07 Atletico Bucaramanga	5	3	1	2	0	3	2	1
08 Deportiva Once Caldas	4	3	1	1	1	7	4	3
09 Atletico Nacional Medellin	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
10 Deportivo Cali	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	1
11 Internacional de Bogota	3	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1
12 Fortaleza F.C	2	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2
13 Independiente Santa Fe	1	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1
14 Alianza Petrolera	1	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1
15 Deportivo Pereira	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1
16 Cucuta	1	2	0	1	1	2	6	-4
17 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	0	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2
18 Deportivo Pasto	0	3	0	0	3	3	7	-4
19 Jaguares de Cordoba	0	3	0	0	3	0	6	-6
20 Boyaca Chico	0	1	0	0	1	0	7	-7

Head To Head

08/08/2025 16:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

3 - 0

Alianza Petrolera

COL D1

23/02/2025 17:00

Alianza Petrolera

3 - 2

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

19/09/2024 20:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 1

Alianza Petrolera

COL Cup

16/09/2024 19:30

Alianza Petrolera

1 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL Cup

17/07/2024 21:10

Alianza Petrolera

0 - 2

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

21/01/2024 21:20

Atletico Nacional Medellin

3 - 1

Alianza Petrolera

COL D1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

67%

Draw

17%

Alianza Petrolera

17%

Atletico Nacional Medellin Last 6 matches

15/02/2026 19:30

Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

12/02/2026 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 4 - 1 Fortaleza F.C COL D1

04/02/2026 21:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 1 America de Cali COL D1

31/01/2026 18:10

Atletico Nacional Medellin 1 - 2 Inter Miami CF INT CF

17/01/2026 19:20

Atletico Nacional Medellin 4 - 0 Boyaca Chico COL D1

17/12/2025 20:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL Cup

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Alianza Petrolera

17/02/2026 17:00

Alianza Petrolera 1 - 1 Cucuta COL D1

08/02/2026 17:10

Alianza Petrolera 1 - 1 Deportiva Once Caldas COL D1

01/02/2026 15:00

Atletico Bucaramanga 5 - 0 Alianza Petrolera COL D1

28/01/2026 17:10

Alianza Petrolera 1 - 1 Boyaca Chico COL D1

23/01/2026 21:30

Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 Alianza Petrolera COL D1

16/01/2026 21:30

Fortaleza F.C 1 - 0 Alianza Petrolera COL D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Played games

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Alianza Petrolera

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 26 matches

YesNo

19 (73%)7 (27%)

In last 26 matches

NoYes

12 (57%)9 (43%)

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Recent matches

Alianza Petrolera

Under /Over

(73%)19 7(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)14 7(33%)

Under /Over

(35%)9 17(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)6 15(71%)

Under /Over

(38%)10 16(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)7 14(67%)

/Yes

(38%)10 16(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)10 11(52%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Alianza Petrolera

Shots

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total shots

13.80 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 3.36

Alianza Petrolera

Total shots

10.24 avg / game

Blocked

44 total

Avg. 2.32

Atletico Nacional Medellin Pass Alianza Petrolera

Total passes

8703

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

6674

Avg. 318 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

OTHERS

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Played games

Alianza Petrolera

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.19

4.04

105

Corners

4.14

13.54

352

Throw-ins

362

17.24

2.00

Offsides

2.14

2.23

GK saves

3.24

Atletico Nacional Medellin

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Petrolera

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

2.62

0.19

0.19

8.38

218

Fouls

237

11.29

7.27

189

Tackles

190

9.05

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

America de Cali

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/16

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/23

Fortaleza F.C

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/26

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

NEXT MATCHES

Deportiva Once Caldas

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

How We Build the Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Nacional Medellin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Petrolera's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Atletico Nacional Medellin and Alianza Petrolera sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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