Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 14

Atletico Morelia

L D W L W

7th place in Apertura

3-2

14/03/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

D W L L D

8th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on March 14, 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos preview before placing for you.

Atletico Morelia are currently 7th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Tepatitlan de Morelos sit 8th with 18 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Morelia to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Tepatitlan de Morelos, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Morelia have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-03-14

Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Morelia

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2026-03-14 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

03/10/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

3 - 2

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

31/01/2025 23:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

3 - 1

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

17/08/2024 19:00

Atletico Morelia

2 - 1

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX Lig2

04/02/2024 18:05

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2 - 1

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

02/11/2023 23:05

Atletico Morelia

1 - 0

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX Lig2

02/02/2023 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

2 - 0

Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

Atletico Morelia

33%

Draw

Tepatitlan de Morelos

67%

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

07/03/2026 19:00

CF Atlante 2 - 1 Atletico Morelia MEX Lig2

28/02/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 1 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

20/02/2026 21:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 0 - 1 Atletico Morelia MEX Lig2

14/02/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 2 - 1 Venados FC MEX Lig2

06/02/2026 23:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 1 Atletico Morelia MEX Lig2

31/01/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 0 - 1 Cancun MEX Lig2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Tepatitlan de Morelos

08/03/2026 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 4 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX Lig2

01/03/2026 18:00

Tlaxcala 1 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

20/02/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 1 Irapuato MEX Lig2

15/02/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 0 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

06/02/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 1 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

30/01/2026 23:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 0 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Atletico Morelia

229

Tepatitlan de Morelos

223

Goals

Scored

303

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

271

Avg. per game

1.18

Scored

278

Avg. per game

1.25

Conceded

274

Avg. per game

1.23

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 229 matches

YesNo

169 (74%)60 (26%)

In last 229 matches

NoYes

160 (72%)63 (28%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.92 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Atletico Morelia Pass Tepatitlan de Morelos

Total passes

921

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

608

Avg. 304 / game

Accurate

69%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Atletico Morelia

17668

Avg. 77.15 / game

Tepatitlan de Morelos

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Tepatitlan de Morelos

10539

Avg. 47.26 / game

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

229

Played games

Tepatitlan de Morelos

223

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.28

4.29

982

Corners

936

4.20

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.00

Offsides

0.02

0.05

GK saves

0.06

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

494

501

2.25

0.12

0.14

0.09

Fouls

0.17

0.15

Tackles

0.13

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

08/20

Tepatitlan de Morelos

Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX

09/03

Tepatitlan de Morelos

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

MEX

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Tepatitlan de Morelos Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tepatitlan de Morelos's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Tepatitlan de Morelos sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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