Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 September

Prediction

Atletico Morelia

9th place in Mexico Primera Divison A

? - ?

17/09/2026 21:00

Leones Negros

1st place in Mexico Primera Divison A

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 17 September 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Morelia are currently 9th with 3 points after 2 matches.
Leones Negros sit 1st with 6 points from 2 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	6	2	2	0	0	6	2	4
02 CD Alacranes de Durango	6	2	2	0	0	2	0	2
03 Venados FC	4	2	1	1	0	4	1	3
04 Correcaminos UAT	4	2	1	1	0	6	4	2
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	4	2	1	1	0	6	4	2
06 Club Chivas Tapatio	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	1
07 Piratas	4	2	1	1	0	1	0	1
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	2
09 Atletico Morelia	3	2	1	0	1	4	3	1
10 CD Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2	2	0	2	0	1	1	0
11 Tampico Madero	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1
12 Cancun	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2
13 Atletico La Paz	0	2	0	0	2	2	5	-3
14 Tepatitlan de Morelos	0	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3
15 Tlaxcala	0	2	0	0	2	3	7	-4
16 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0	2	0	0	2	0	5	-5

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

02/08/2026 08:00

Piratas 1 - 0 Atletico Morelia Liga de Expansion MX

26/07/2026 08:00

Atletico Morelia 4 - 2 Atletico La Paz Liga de Expansion MX

05/07/2026 08:30

Atletico Morelia 3 - 3 CDSyC Cruz Azul International Club Friendly

20/06/2026 22:30

Necaxa 1 - 0 Atletico Morelia International Club Friendly

26/04/2026 08:00

Atletico Morelia 2 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expansion MX

23/04/2026 08:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 0 Atletico Morelia Liga de Expansion MX

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

02/08/2026 08:00

Cancun 0 - 2 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX

26/07/2026 05:00

Tlaxcala 2 - 4 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX

20/04/2026 01:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Cancun Liga de Expansion MX

12/04/2026 08:00

Venados FC 2 - 1 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX

05/04/2026 08:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 Atletico Morelia Liga de Expansion MX

28/03/2026 08:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Leones Negros Liga de Expansion MX

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

3.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (50%)1 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (100%)0 (0%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)2 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(100%)2 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)1 1(50%)

/Yes

(50%)1 1(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)1 1(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

11.50 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Leones Negros

Total shots

12.50 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Atletico Morelia Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

921

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

798

Avg. 399 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.50

1.50

Corners

2.50

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

1.00

3.50

GK saves

2.00

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

3.00

3.50

0.50

0.50

10.00

Fouls

14.50

17.00

Tackles

19.00

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 17 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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