Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 May

Atletico Morelia

W L W D W

7th place in Autumn

2-0

03/05/2025 21:30

Leones Negros

W W L L W

1st place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 03 May 2025 (kick-off: 21:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Morelia will face Leones Negros in Mexico Primera Divison A on May 3, 2025 at 21:30.
Atletico Morelia are currently 7th with 20 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 1st with 29 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.09.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:30

2025-05-03

Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

2025-05-03 21:30

STANDINGS UP TO 03/05/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

20/03/2025 23:00

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

05/10/2024 19:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

04/04/2024 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

18/11/2023 21:05

Leones Negros

2 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

15/11/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX D2

01/09/2023 23:05

Leones Negros

0 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

Leones Negros

50%

Draw

17%

Monarcas Morelia

33%

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

26/04/2025 20:00

CF Atlante 2 - 3 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

23/04/2025 21:10

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 0 CF Atlante

MEX D2

19/04/2025 21:00

Tlaxcala FC 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

12/04/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 1 Cancun FC

MEX D2

05/04/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

29/03/2025 19:00

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 2 Correcaminos UAT

MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

27/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos

MEX D2

24/04/2025 22:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX D2

18/04/2025 21:00

Leones Negros 3 - 1 Venados FC

MEX D2

12/04/2025 21:05

Celaya FC 2 - 3 Leones Negros

MEX D2

06/04/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 2 Tampico Madero

MEX D2

28/03/2025 23:00

Atletico La Paz 3 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX D2

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

19 (59%)13 (41%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

29 (73%)11 (28%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(78%)25 7(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)32 8(20%)

Under /Over

(38%)12 20(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(43%)17 23(57%)

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)19 21(52%)

/Yes

(59%)19 13(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)26 14(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.41 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

9.78 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.28

4.16

133

Corners

209

5.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.03

2.25

0.06

0.18

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 03 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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