Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Atletico Morelia

W D D D D

6th place in Mexico Primera Divison A

1 - 1

11/05/2023 19:00

Celaya FC

W W D W W

1st place in Mexico Primera Divison A

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC on 11 May 2023 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Morelia are currently 6th with 26 points after 17 matches.
Celaya FC sit 1st with 38 points from 17 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Celaya FC	38	17	12	2	3	28	13	15
02 CF Atlante	34	17	9	7	1	34	14	20
03 Leones Negros	31	17	9	4	4	26	13	13
04 Cimarrones de Sonora	30	17	8	6	3	29	16	13
05 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	27	17	8	3	6	23	20	3
06 Monarcas Morelia	26	17	7	5	5	23	17	6
07 Venados FC	25	17	7	4	6	21	20	1
08 Mineros de Zacatecas	23	17	6	5	6	27	29	-2
09 Club Chivas Tapatio	22	17	6	4	7	22	27	-5
10 Tepatitlan de Morelos	21	17	5	6	6	22	23	-1
11 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	20	17	4	8	5	21	16	5
12 CD Alacranes de Durango	20	17	4	8	5	23	28	-5
13 Correcaminos UAT	19	17	5	4	8	19	22	-3
14 Tlaxcala FC	19	17	5	4	8	14	26	-12
15 Raya2 Expansion	18	17	4	6	7	16	22	-6
16 Atletico La Paz	17	17	4	5	8	22	32	-10
17 Cancun FC	14	17	3	5	9	8	22	-14
18 Pumas Tabasco	10	17	2	4	11	14	32	-18

Head To Head

02/04/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia

3 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

07/09/2022 18:00

Celaya FC

2 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

08/03/2022 19:00

Celaya FC

2 - 2

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

10/08/2021 18:00

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Celaya FC

MEX D2

28/02/2021 14:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Celaya FC

MEX D2

10/11/2020 19:00

Celaya FC

1 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

Atletico Morelia

Draw

Celaya FC

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

07/05/2023 19:00

Monarcas Morelia 1 - 0 Cimarrones de Sonora MEX D2

04/05/2023 23:05

Cimarrones de Sonora 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

18/04/2023 23:05

Cimarrones de Sonora 0 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

13/04/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

05/04/2023 21:05

Pumas Tabasco 1 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

02/04/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 2 Celaya FC MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Celaya FC

05/05/2023 21:05

Celaya FC 1 - 0 Leones Negros MEX D2

02/05/2023 21:00

Leones Negros 0 - 3 Celaya FC MEX D2

19/04/2023 21:05

Celaya FC 4 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

12/04/2023 23:05

Correcaminos UAT 0 - 1 Celaya FC MEX D2

05/04/2023 19:00

Celaya FC 2 - 1 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX D2

02/04/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 2 Celaya FC MEX D2

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Celaya FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 43 matches

YesNo

20 (47%)23 (53%)

In last 43 matches

NoYes

20 (45%)24 (55%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Celaya FC

Under /Over

(65%)28 15(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(66%)29 15(34%)

Under /Over

(23%)10 33(77%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 35(80%)

Under /Over

(30%)13 30(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)22 22(50%)

/Yes

(44%)19 24(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(48%)21 23(52%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Celaya FC

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

9.05 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Celaya FC

Total shots

6.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia Pass Celaya FC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

Played games

Celaya FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.45

5.53

238

Corners

184

4.18

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Celaya FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.58

111

130

2.95

0.19

0.14

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC on 11 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Celaya FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Celaya FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Celaya FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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