Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 August

Atletico Morelia

L D W L W

7th place in Apertura

3-1

09/08/2025 18:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

W D W D L

13th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca on 09 August 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Morelia are currently 7th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 13th with 13 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Morelia to win with probability 67%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-08-09

Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Morelia

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

2025-08-09 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/08/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

08/02/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

25/08/2024 18:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

13/04/2024 19:05

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

3 - 3

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

04/10/2023 23:05

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 0

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

13/04/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

21/10/2022 20:00

Monarcas Morelia

1 - 1

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

Atletico Morelia

Draw

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

01/08/2025 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

11/05/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

03/05/2025 21:30

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Leones Negros MEX D2

26/04/2025 20:00

CF Atlante 2 - 3 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

23/04/2025 21:10

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 0 CF Atlante MEX D2

19/04/2025 21:00

Tlaxcala 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca

19/04/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 2 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa MEX D2

11/04/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 4 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

04/04/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

29/03/2025 21:00

Celaya FC 3 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

21/03/2025 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - 3 Tlaxcala MEX D2

16/03/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 3 - 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Goals

Scored

303

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

271

Avg. per game

1.18

Scored

229

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

334

Avg. per game

1.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 229 matches

YesNo

169 (74%)60 (26%)

In last 229 matches

NoYes

129 (67%)64 (33%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.92 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Total shots

7.97 avg / game

Blocked

7 total

Avg. 3.50

Atletico Morelia Pass Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Total passes

921

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

1055

Avg. 528 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

229

Played games

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

193

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.21

4.29

982

Corners

767

3.97

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.02

0.05

GK saves

0.08

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

494

474

2.46

0.12

0.17

0.09

Fouls

0.09

0.15

Tackles

0.21

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

Tepatitlan de Morelos

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca on 09 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alebrijes de Oaxaca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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