Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Atletico Madrid

W D W L W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

25/01/2025 11:15

Villarreal

W W W W W

5th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal on 25 January 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Villarreal sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Villarreal have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2025-01-25

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

2025-01-25 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

19/08/2024 15:30

Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

01/04/2024 15:00

Villarreal

1 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

12/11/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Villarreal

SPA D1

04/06/2023 12:30

Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

21/08/2022 13:30

Atletico Madrid

0 - 2

Villarreal

SPA D1

09/01/2022 16:00

Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

33%

Draw

50%

Villarreal

17%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

15/01/2025 16:30

Elche 0 - 4 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

12/01/2025 11:15

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna SPA D1

04/01/2025 16:30

UD Marbella 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

21/12/2024 16:00

FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

15/12/2024 09:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Getafe SPA D1

11/12/2024 13:45

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Slovan Bratislava UEFA CL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Villarreal

13/01/2025 16:00

Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Villarreal SPA D1

22/12/2024 13:30

Leganes 2 - 5 Villarreal SPA D1

18/12/2024 16:30

Villarreal 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

15/12/2024 13:30

Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis SPA D1

08/12/2024 11:15

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Villarreal SPA D1

04/12/2024 16:00

Pontevedra 1 - 0 Villarreal SPA CUP

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

545

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

329

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored

524

Avg. per game

1.75

Conceded

405

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

247 (82%)53 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

238 (79%)62 (21%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Villarreal

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Villarreal

Total shots

12.46 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 3.14

Atletico Madrid Pass Villarreal

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

114264

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Villarreal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.24

5.10

1529

Corners

1373

4.58

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

4295

14.32

2.17

650

Offsides

561

1.87

2.54

762

GK saves

758

2.53

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Villarreal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

627

2.09

0.13

0.10

11.11

3334

Fouls

3173

10.58

13.63

4090

Tackles

3504

11.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal on 25 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villarreal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Villarreal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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