Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 November

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

3-1

12/11/2023 16:00

Villarreal

W L W W D

8th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal on 12 November 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 76 points after 38 matches.
Villarreal sit 8th with 53 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Madrid and Villarreal have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-11-12

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

2023-11-12 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 12/11/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

04/06/2023 12:30

Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

21/08/2022 13:30

Atletico Madrid

0 - 2

Villarreal

SPA D1

09/01/2022 16:00

Villarreal

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

29/08/2021 16:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Villarreal

SPA D1

28/02/2021 16:00

Villarreal

0 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

03/10/2020 10:00

Atletico Madrid

0 - 0

Villarreal

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

17%

Draw

67%

Villarreal

17%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

03/11/2023 16:00

Las Palmas 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

29/10/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

25/10/2023 15:00

Celtic FC 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

21/10/2023 15:00

Celta Vigo 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

08/10/2023 10:15

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Sociedad SPA D1

04/10/2023 12:45

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Feyenoord UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Villarreal

05/11/2023 13:30

Villarreal 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

02/11/2023 14:00

Chiclana 0 - 5 Villarreal SPA CUP

30/10/2023 16:00

Granada CF 2 - 3 Villarreal SPA D1

22/10/2023 12:30

Villarreal 1 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

08/10/2023 08:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 Las Palmas SPA D1

05/10/2023 15:00

Villarreal 1 - 0 Rennes UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

546

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored

528

Avg. per game

1.76

Conceded

403

Avg. per game

1.34

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

247 (82%)53 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

238 (79%)62 (21%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Villarreal

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Villarreal

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Villarreal

Total shots

12.46 avg / game

Blocked

746 total

Avg. 3.13

Atletico Madrid Pass Villarreal

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

114815

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Villarreal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.24

5.12

1535

Corners

1373

4.58

16.65

4994

Throw-ins

4309

14.36

2.18

653

Offsides

566

1.89

2.53

759

GK saves

759

2.53

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Villarreal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.15

644

623

2.08

0.13

0.09

11.07

3320

Fouls

3180

10.60

13.67

4100

Tackles

3514

11.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal on 12 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villarreal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Villarreal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less