Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 September

Atletico Madrid

W D W L W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

29/09/2024 12:00

Real Madrid

W W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 29 September 2024 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid will face Real Madrid in Spanish La Liga on September 29, 2024 at 12:00.
Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 2nd with 84 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2024-09-29

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

2024-09-29 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

04/02/2024 13:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

18/01/2024 13:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

10/01/2024 12:00

Real Madrid

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA SUC

24/09/2023 12:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

25/02/2023 10:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

26/01/2023 13:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

Real Madrid

17%

Draw

83%

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

19/09/2024 12:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 RB Leipzig

UEFA CL

15/09/2024 12:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia

SPA D1

31/08/2024 10:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

28/08/2024 12:30

Atletico Madrid 0 - 0 RCD Espanyol

SPA D1

25/08/2024 12:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Girona

SPA D1

19/08/2024 12:30

Villarreal 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

21/09/2024 12:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 RCD Espanyol

SPA D1

17/09/2024 12:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart

UEFA CL

14/09/2024 12:00

Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid

SPA D1

01/09/2024 12:30

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Betis

SPA D1

29/08/2024 12:30

Las Palmas 1 - 1 Real Madrid

SPA D1

25/08/2024 08:00

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Real Valladolid

SPA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.08

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

27 (71%)11 (29%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

28 (74%)10 (26%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)34 4(11%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

/Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.32 avg / game

Blocked

109 total

Avg. 3.11

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.66 avg / game

Blocked

139 total

Avg. 4.09

Atletico Madrid Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

19647

Avg. 517 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

22159

Avg. 583 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

Played games

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.39

5.00

190

Corners

243

6.39

20.71

787

Throw-ins

599

15.76

1.89

Offsides

2.21

2.37

GK saves

2.47

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

1.50

0.08

0.11

10.79

410

Fouls

322

8.47

16.29

619

Tackles

569

14.97

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 29 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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