Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 September

Atletico Madrid

W D W L W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

29/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

W W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 29 September 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 2nd with 84 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 1 of the last 6 meetings. Real Madrid have no wins, while 5 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-09-29

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

2024-09-29 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 29/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

04/02/2024 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

18/01/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

10/01/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA SUC

24/09/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

26/01/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

Atletico Madrid

17%

Draw

83%

Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

19/09/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 RB Leipzig UEFA CL

15/09/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

31/08/2024 13:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/08/2024 15:30

Atletico Madrid 0 - 0 RCD Espanyol SPA D1

25/08/2024 15:30

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Girona SPA D1

19/08/2024 15:30

Villarreal 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

21/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 RCD Espanyol SPA D1

17/09/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart UEFA CL

14/09/2024 15:00

Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

01/09/2024 15:30

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Real Betis SPA D1

29/08/2024 15:30

Las Palmas 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

25/08/2024 11:00

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Real Valladolid SPA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

546

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored

628

Avg. per game

2.09

Conceded

314

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

247 (82%)53 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

266 (89%)34 (11%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1066 total

Avg. 4.28

Atletico Madrid Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

168163

Avg. 586 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Real Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

110

0.37

5.12

1535

Corners

1759

5.86

16.65

4994

Throw-ins

4519

15.06

2.18

653

Offsides

564

1.88

2.53

759

GK saves

875

2.92

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.15

644

536

1.79

0.13

0.08

11.07

3320

Fouls

2913

9.71

13.67

4100

Tackles

3868

12.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid on 29 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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