Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, Live H2H & Live Stats | 27 September 2025

Atletico Madrid
4th place in Spanish La Liga
2
5-2
FT
27/09/2025 07:15
Real Madrid
2nd place in Spanish La Liga
MATCH INTRO

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid takes place on 27 September 2025 in. Betiball's match analysis compares recent form, home and away performance, scoring records, defensive numbers and head-to-head data to estimate the most likely outcome.

Explore the latest Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction, including 1X2 probabilities, expected score, Under/Over 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score and key match statistics. Kick-off is scheduled for 07:15.

  • Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 69 points after 38 matches.
  • Real Madrid sit 2nd with 86 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 40%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.
favorite match
07:15

2025-09-27

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2025-09-27 07:15
34
26
40
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.27
FT
5-2 2-2
-
weather
21℃~22℃
STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
94 38 31 1 6 95 36 59
02 Real Madrid Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 77 35 42
03 Villarreal Villarreal
72 38 22 6 10 72 46 26
04 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
69 38 21 6 11 62 44 18
05 Real Betis Real Betis
60 38 15 15 8 59 48 11
06 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
54 38 14 12 12 53 48 5
07 Getafe Getafe
51 38 15 6 17 32 38 -6
08 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
50 38 12 14 12 41 44 -3
09 Valencia Valencia
49 38 13 10 15 46 55 -9
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
46 38 11 13 14 59 61 -2
11 RCD Espanyol RCD Espanyol
46 38 12 10 16 43 55 -12
12 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
45 38 13 6 19 43 58 -15
13 Sevilla Sevilla
43 38 12 7 19 46 60 -14
14 Alaves Alaves
43 38 11 10 17 44 56 -12
15 Elche Elche
43 38 10 13 15 49 57 -8
16 Levante Levante
42 38 11 9 18 47 61 -14
17 Osasuna Osasuna
42 38 11 9 18 44 50 -6
18 Mallorca Mallorca
42 38 11 9 18 47 57 -10
19 Girona Girona
41 38 9 14 15 39 55 -16
20 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo
29 38 6 11 21 26 60 -34
Head To Head
12/03/2025 13:00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1 - 0
Real Madrid Real Madrid
UEFA CL
04/03/2025 13:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2 - 1
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
UEFA CL
08/02/2025 13:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
SPA D1
29/09/2024 12:00
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1 - 1
Real Madrid Real Madrid
SPA D1
04/02/2024 13:00
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
SPA D1
18/01/2024 13:30
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
2 - 2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
SPA CUP
Atletico Madrid
1
17%
Draw
4
67%
Real Madrid
1
17%
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches
17/09/2025 12:00
Liverpool 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL
13/09/2025 12:00
Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Villarreal SPA D1
30/08/2025 08:00
Alaves 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1
23/08/2025 10:30
Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Elche SPA D1
17/08/2025 12:30
RCD Espanyol 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1
09/08/2025 08:00
Newcastle United 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Real Madrid Real Madrid
16/09/2025 12:00
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Marseille UEFA CL
13/09/2025 07:15
Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1
30/08/2025 12:30
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Mallorca SPA D1
24/08/2025 12:30
Real Oviedo 0 - 3 Real Madrid SPA D1
19/08/2025 12:00
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna SPA D1
12/08/2025 10:00
WSG Swarovski Tirol 0 - 4 Real Madrid INT CF
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Goals
Scored
62
Avg. per game
1.63
Conceded
44
Avg. per game
1.16
Scored
77
Avg. per game
2.03
Conceded
35
Avg. per game
0.92
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
33 (87%)5 (13%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
34 (89%)4 (11%)
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

/Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Shots
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Total shots
13.29 avg / game
Blocked
95 total
Avg. 2.50
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Total shots
17.38 avg / game
Blocked
160 total
Avg. 4.32
Total passes
19196
Avg. 505 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
21672
Avg. 586 / game
Accurate
89%
Ball possession
59%
OTHERS
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
38
Played games
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.37
14
Clean sheets
14
0.37
6.47
246
Corners
235
6.18
18.34
697
Throw-ins
588
15.47
2.08
79
Offsides
76
2.00
2.58
98
GK saves
85
2.24
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
DISCIPLINARY
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.05
78
Yellow card
69
1.82
0.13
5
Red card
5
0.13
11.18
425
Fouls
373
9.82
10.24
389
Tackles
355
9.34