Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Starting Lineups Time : 09/05/2026 12:30

Atletico Madrid
0 - 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
69' event Cubo / Robin Le Normand
69' event Obed Vaargas / Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
66' event Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
61' event Thiago Almada / Antoine Griezmann
60' event Nahuel Molina / Ademola Lookman
20' event Robin Le Normand / Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas
event 89' Mihailo Ristic / Oscar Mingueza
event 77' Fernando López González
event 77' Hugo Alvarez Antunez / Williot Swedberg
event 69' Iago Aspas Juncal / Pablo Duran
event 68' Ferran Jutgla Blanch / Borja Iglesias Quintas
event 68' Sergio Carreira / alvaro Nunez
event 62' Borja Iglesias Quintas
event 19' Ilaix Moriba Kourouma
69' event Cubo / Robin Le Normand
event 89' Mihailo Ristic / Oscar Mingueza
69' event Obed Vaargas / Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
event 77' Fernando López González
66' event Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
event 77' Hugo Alvarez Antunez / Williot Swedberg
61' event Thiago Almada / Antoine Griezmann
event 69' Iago Aspas Juncal / Pablo Duran
60' event Nahuel Molina / Ademola Lookman
event 68' Ferran Jutgla Blanch / Borja Iglesias Quintas
20' event Robin Le Normand / Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas
event 68' Sergio Carreira / alvaro Nunez
event 62' Borja Iglesias Quintas
event 19' Ilaix Moriba Kourouma
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Substitutions
#16 Nahuel Molina
#11 Thiago Almada
#24 Robin Le Normand
#21 Obed Vaargas
#61 Cubo
#1 Juan Musso
#15 Clement Lenglet
#4 Rodrigo Mendoza
#31 Salvi Esquivel
#34 Julio Diaz
#37 Iker Luque
#47 Javi Morcillo
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
20Shots3
4Shots on Goal1
11Fouls13
10Corner Kick0
13Free kick11
2Offside5
1Yellow card2
21Aerial11
0Save4
9Successful Tackles8
6Interceptions5
20Long pass21
0Assist1
12Successful center0
5Substitution4
10Shots off goal1
1Hit The Post0
9Head Success7
6Blocked1
8Tackle7
2Dribbles5
16Throw-in12
560Passes468
115Attacks74
91Dangerous attacks12
5Corner Kicks(HT)0
4BigChances1
4BigChancesMissed0
15ShotsInsideBox1
5ShotsOutsideBox2
38DuelsWon38
2.04ExpectedGoals0.13
1.93xGOpenPlay0.13
2.04xGNonPenalty0.13
1.4xGOT0.45
36Touches In Opposition Box3
41AccurateCrosses0
29GroundDuelsWon31
9AerialDuelsWon7
1Clearances39
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Substitutions
#21 Mihailo Ristic
#10 Iago Aspas Juncal
#23 Hugo Alvarez Antunez
#5 Sergio Carreira
#9 Ferran Jutgla Blanch
#4 Joseph Aidoo
#24 Carlos Dominguez
#22 Hugo Sotelo
#1 Ivan Villar
#39 Jones El-Abdellaoui
#12 Manu Fernández
#36 Andres Antanon
Commentary
89' Celta Vigo — substitution: Mihailo Ristic / Oscar Mingueza
77' Fernando López González - Celta Vigo receive a yellow card
77' Celta Vigo — substitution: Hugo Alvarez Antunez / Williot Swedberg
69' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Cubo / Robin Le Normand
69' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Obed Vaargas / Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
69' Celta Vigo — substitution: Iago Aspas Juncal / Pablo Duran
68' Celta Vigo — substitution: Ferran Jutgla Blanch / Borja Iglesias Quintas
68' Celta Vigo — substitution: Sergio Carreira / alvaro Nunez
66' Alejandro Baena Rodriguez - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
62' Goal! Borja Iglesias Quintas - Celta Vigo
61' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Thiago Almada / Antoine Griezmann
60' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Nahuel Molina / Ademola Lookman
20' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Robin Le Normand / Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas
19' Ilaix Moriba Kourouma - Celta Vigo receive a yellow card

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Celta Vigo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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