Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 April

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

3-1

27/04/2024 15:00

Athletic Bilbao

L W D L W

5th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 27 April 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 76 points after 38 matches.
Athletic Bilbao sit 5th with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Madrid have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-04-27

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

2024-04-27 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

29/02/2024 16:30

Athletic Bilbao

3 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

07/02/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid

0 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA CUP

16/12/2023 11:15

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

19/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

15/10/2022 15:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

30/04/2022 15:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

33%

Draw

Athletic Bilbao

67%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

16/04/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

13/04/2024 08:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Girona SPA D1

10/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund UEFA CL

01/04/2024 15:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

17/03/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona SPA D1

13/03/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Athletic Bilbao

19/04/2024 15:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Granada CF SPA D1

14/04/2024 12:30

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

06/04/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Mallorca SPA CUP

31/03/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

16/03/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Alaves SPA D1

10/03/2024 11:15

Las Palmas 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

18 (95%)1 (5%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

17 (89%)2 (11%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Athletic Bilbao

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

/Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

14.05 avg / game

Blocked

56 total

Avg. 3.11

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

14.26 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 3.26

Atletico Madrid Pass Athletic Bilbao

Total passes

9413

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

8860

Avg. 466 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.47

4.21

Corners

113

5.95

17.32

329

Throw-ins

414

21.79

3.74

Offsides

2.58

2.74

GK saves

2.37

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

2.00

0.16

0.05

11.37

216

Fouls

247

13.00

16.32

310

Tackles

288

15.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 27 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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