Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 January

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves on 18 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Alaves preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: Starting Lineups Time : 18/01/2026 11:15

Atletico Madrid
1 - 0
Finished
Alaves
86' event Nahuel Molina / Alexander Sorloth
78' event Robin Le Normand / Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso
62' event Antoine Griezmann / Julian Alvarez
62' event Alejandro Baena Rodriguez / Thiago Almada
62' event Jorge Resurreccion Merodio, Koke / Giuliano Simeone
48' event Alexander Sorloth
27' event Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso
event 81' Aitor Manas / Antonio Blanco
event 69' Abde Rebbach / Carles Alena Castillo
event 55' Ander Guevara Lajo / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
event 55' Lucas Boye / Antonio Martinez Lopez
event 54' Denis Suarez Fernandez / Jon Guridi
event 6' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
86' event Nahuel Molina / Alexander Sorloth
event 81' Aitor Manas / Antonio Blanco
78' event Robin Le Normand / Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso
event 69' Abde Rebbach / Carles Alena Castillo
62' event Antoine Griezmann / Julian Alvarez
event 55' Ander Guevara Lajo / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
62' event Alejandro Baena Rodriguez / Thiago Almada
event 55' Lucas Boye / Antonio Martinez Lopez
62' event Jorge Resurreccion Merodio, Koke / Giuliano Simeone
event 54' Denis Suarez Fernandez / Jon Guridi
48' event Alexander Sorloth
event 6' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
27' event Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Substitutions
#16 Nahuel Molina
#7 Antoine Griezmann
#6 Jorge Resurreccion Merodio, Koke
#10 Alejandro Baena Rodriguez
#24 Robin Le Normand
#1 Juan Musso
#29 Rayane Belaid
#31 Salvi Esquivel
#2 Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas
#27 Jano Monserrate
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Alaves Alaves
23Shots8
6Shots on Goal0
13Fouls5
6Corner Kick6
5Free kick13
2Offside1
1Yellow card1
1Aerial16
0Save4
24Successful Tackles15
5Interceptions3
28Long pass15
1Assist0
8Successful center5
5Substitution5
9Shots off goal6
1Hit The Post0
19Head Success12
8Blocked2
14Tackle7
7Dribbles8
21Throw-in16
553Passes461
117Attacks101
70Dangerous attacks37
3Corner Kicks(HT)1
3BigChances2
2BigChancesMissed2
16ShotsInsideBox6
7ShotsOutsideBox2
52DuelsWon46
1.63ExpectedGoals0.85
1.4xGOpenPlay0.15
1.63xGNonPenalty0.85
47Touches In Opposition Box9
24AccurateCrosses25
34GroundDuelsWon35
18AerialDuelsWon11
25Clearances27
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#21 Abde Rebbach
#15 Lucas Boye
#6 Ander Guevara Lajo
#4 Denis Suarez Fernandez
#34 Aitor Manas
#20 Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
#13 Raul Fernandez Mateos
#3 Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
#23 Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni
Commentary
86' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Nahuel Molina / Alexander Sorloth
81' Alaves — substitution: Aitor Manas / Antonio Blanco
78' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Robin Le Normand / Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso
69' Alaves — substitution: Abde Rebbach / Carles Alena Castillo
62' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Antoine Griezmann / Julian Alvarez
62' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Alejandro Baena Rodriguez / Thiago Almada
62' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Jorge Resurreccion Merodio, Koke / Giuliano Simeone
55' Alaves — substitution: Ander Guevara Lajo / Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
55' Alaves — substitution: Lucas Boye / Antonio Martinez Lopez
54' Alaves — substitution: Denis Suarez Fernandez / Jon Guridi
48' Goal! Alexander Sorloth - Atletico Madrid
27' Joao Lucas De Souza Cardoso - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
6' Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras - Alaves receive a yellow card

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves on 18 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alaves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Alaves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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