Atletico Madrid vs Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 January

Atletico Madrid

W W L W W

4th place in Spanish La Liga

1-0

18/01/2026 11:15

Alaves

W L D W W

14th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves on 18 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Alaves preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 4th with 69 points after 38 matches.
Alaves sit 14th with 43 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alaves have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2026-01-18

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Alaves

2026-01-18 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 18/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

30/08/2025 11:00

Alaves

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

03/05/2025 08:00

Alaves

0 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

23/11/2024 11:15

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

21/04/2024 12:30

Alaves

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

29/10/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

02/04/2022 15:00

Atletico Madrid

4 - 1

Alaves

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

50%

Draw

33%

Alaves

17%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

08/01/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Real Madrid SPA SUC

04/01/2026 16:00

Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

21/12/2025 09:00

Girona 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

17/12/2025 14:00

Baleares 2 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

13/12/2025 09:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Valencia SPA D1

09/12/2025 16:00

PSV Eindhoven 2 - 3 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Alaves

10/01/2026 11:15

Villarreal 3 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

04/01/2026 13:30

Alaves 1 - 1 Real Oviedo SPA D1

20/12/2025 13:30

Osasuna 3 - 0 Alaves SPA D1

17/12/2025 16:00

Alaves 1 - 0 Sevilla SPA CUP

14/12/2025 16:00

Alaves 1 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

06/12/2025 11:15

Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.03

Conceded

174

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

190

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

193 (64%)107 (36%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

143 (49%)151 (51%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Alaves

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Alaves

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Alaves

Total shots

10.93 avg / game

Blocked

549 total

Avg. 2.76

Atletico Madrid Pass Alaves

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

84253

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Alaves

294

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.29

5.10

1529

Corners

1344

4.57

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

4853

16.51

2.17

650

Offsides

498

1.69

2.54

762

GK saves

626

2.13

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Alaves

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

653

2.22

0.13

0.11

11.11

3334

Fouls

3641

12.38

13.63

4090

Tackles

3273

11.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Alaves on 18 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alaves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Alaves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less