Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Atletico La Paz

L L W D D

14th place in Autumn

0-1

27/09/2024 23:00

Atletico Morelia

W L W D W

7th place in Autumn

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia on 27 September 2024 (kick-off: 23:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia preview before placing your bet.

Atletico La Paz are currently 14th with 10 points after 14 matches.
Atletico Morelia sit 7th with 20 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico La Paz to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Morelia, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. Atletico La Paz have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:00

2024-09-27

Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia - Prediction & Odds

Atletico La Paz

Atletico Morelia

2024-09-27 23:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leones Negros	29	14	9	2	3	31	18	13
02 CF Atlante	28	14	8	4	2	26	11	15
03 Mineros de Zacatecas	26	14	7	5	2	19	11	8
04 Celaya FC	25	14	7	4	3	23	15	8
05 Tampico Madero	24	14	7	3	4	16	12	4
06 Venados FC	22	14	6	4	4	22	20	2
07 Monarcas Morelia	20	14	6	2	6	18	21	-3
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	19	14	5	4	5	23	18	5
09 Cancun FC	19	14	5	4	5	18	17	1
10 Club Chivas Tapatio	19	14	6	1	7	18	18	0
11 Correcaminos UAT	18	14	5	3	6	19	24	-5
12 Tlaxcala FC	13	14	2	7	5	21	29	-8
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	12	14	3	3	8	16	24	-8
14 Atletico La Paz	10	14	2	4	8	20	35	-15
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	5	14	1	2	11	13	30	-17

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	29	14	8	5	1	31	11	20
02 Club Chivas Tapatio	29	14	8	5	1	32	14	18
03 Leones Negros	28	14	8	4	2	23	15	8
04 Celaya FC	23	14	6	5	3	24	12	12
05 Venados FC	22	14	5	7	2	26	12	14
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	20	14	5	5	4	17	11	6
07 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	15	6
08 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	18	14	5	3	6	23	24	-1
09 Cancun FC	18	14	5	3	6	19	21	-2
10 Tampico Madero	18	14	4	6	4	13	17	-4
11 Monarcas Morelia	16	14	4	4	6	14	22	-8
12 Tlaxcala FC	14	14	4	2	8	14	21	-7
13 Atletico La Paz	12	14	3	3	8	13	34	-21
14 Correcaminos UAT	9	14	2	3	9	19	36	-17
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	9	14	2	3	9	11	35	-24

Head To Head

09/01/2024 23:05

Atletico La Paz

1 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

10/09/2023 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 0

Atletico La Paz

MEX D2

19/01/2023 21:05

Atletico La Paz

3 - 3

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

18/09/2022 13:00

Monarcas Morelia

4 - 2

Atletico La Paz

MEX D2

Atletico La Paz

Draw

50%

Atletico Morelia

50%

Atletico La Paz Last 6 matches

18/09/2024 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 4 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

15/09/2024 14:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 1 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

06/09/2024 23:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 1 Tampico Madero MEX D2

31/08/2024 21:00

Celaya FC 5 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

23/08/2024 23:00

Atletico La Paz 1 - 1 Venados FC MEX D2

08/08/2024 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 5 - 1 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Atletico Morelia

13/09/2024 21:00

Venados FC 2 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

31/08/2024 19:00

Monarcas Morelia 1 - 1 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa MEX D2

25/08/2024 18:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

17/08/2024 19:00

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX D2

11/08/2024 19:00

CF Atlante 3 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

02/08/2024 11:59

Monarcas Morelia 1 - 4 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Goals

Scored

192

Avg. per game

1.42

Conceded

254

Avg. per game

1.88

Scored

303

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

271

Avg. per game

1.18

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 135 matches

YesNo

99 (73%)36 (27%)

In last 135 matches

NoYes

169 (74%)60 (26%)

Atletico La Paz

Recent matches

Atletico Morelia

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico La Paz

Atletico Morelia

Shots

Atletico La Paz

Total shots

8.67 avg / game

Blocked

7 total

Avg. 3.50

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

8.92 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Atletico La Paz Pass Atletico Morelia

Total passes

801

Avg. 401 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

921

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico La Paz

135

Played games

Atletico Morelia

229

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.32

4.67

630

Corners

982

4.29

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.01

Offsides

0.00

0.07

GK saves

0.05

Atletico La Paz

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.67

361

494

2.16

0.21

0.12

0.16

Fouls

0.09

0.24

Tackles

0.15

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

How We Build the Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia on 27 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico La Paz vs Atletico Morelia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico La Paz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Morelia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico La Paz and Atletico Morelia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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