Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 17

Athletic Club MG

L L L W D

15th place in Brazil Serie B

0-2

17/05/2025 19:30

Gremio Novorizontino

D D D D L

7th place in Brazil Serie B

Brazil Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino on May 17, 2025 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino preview before placing for you.

Athletic Club MG are currently 15th with 44 points after 38 matches.
Gremio Novorizontino sit 7th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Gremio Novorizontino to win with probability 41%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2025-05-17

Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Club MG

Gremio Novorizontino

2025-05-17 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coritiba PR	68	38	19	11	8	39	23	16
02 Atletico Paranaense	65	38	19	8	11	53	43	10
03 Chapecoense SC	62	38	18	8	12	52	35	17
04 Remo Belem (PA)	62	38	16	14	8	51	39	12
05 Criciuma	61	38	17	10	11	47	33	14
06 Goias	61	38	17	10	11	42	37	5
07 Gremio Novorizontino	60	38	15	15	8	43	32	11
08 Avai FC	56	38	14	14	10	50	40	10
09 CRB AL	56	38	16	8	14	45	40	5
10 Cuiaba	54	38	14	12	12	43	44	-1
11 Atletico Clube Goianiense	52	38	13	13	12	39	38	1
12 Operario Ferroviario PR	48	38	12	12	14	40	44	-4
13 Vila Nova	47	38	11	14	13	40	44	-4
14 America MG	46	38	12	10	16	41	44	-3
15 Athletic Club MG	44	38	12	8	18	43	53	-10
16 Botafogo SP	42	38	10	12	16	32	52	-20
17 Ferroviaria SP	40	38	8	16	14	43	52	-9
18 Amazonas FC	36	38	8	12	18	38	55	-17
19 Volta Redonda	36	38	8	12	18	26	43	-17
20 SC Paysandu Para	28	38	5	13	20	36	52	-16

Athletic Club MG Last 6 matches

12/05/2025 18:00

Botafogo SP 0 - 3 Athletic Club MG BRA D2

06/05/2025 20:30

Athletic Club MG 0 - 1 Vila Nova BRA D2

27/04/2025 15:00

Athletic Club MG 2 - 1 Volta Redonda BRA D2

20/04/2025 17:00

Chapecoense SC 1 - 0 Athletic Club MG BRA D2

17/04/2025 19:00

Criciuma 4 - 0 Athletic Club MG BRA D2

13/04/2025 15:00

Athletic Club MG 1 - 2 CRB AL BRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Gremio Novorizontino

11/05/2025 17:30

Gremio Novorizontin 2 - 2 Ferroviaria SP BRA D2

04/05/2025 15:00

Atletico Clube Goianiense 1 - 0 Gremio Novorizontin BRA D2

30/04/2025 20:30

Gremio Novorizontin 0 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) Copa do Brasil

24/04/2025 20:35

Gremio Novorizontin 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense BRA D2

21/04/2025 18:00

Gremio Novorizontin 1 - 1 Criciuma BRA D2

16/04/2025 20:00

Coritiba PR 0 - 0 Gremio Novorizontin BRA D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Athletic Club MG

Gremio Novorizontino

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.55

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

17 (45%)21 (55%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Athletic Club MG

Recent matches

Gremio Novorizontino

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)24 14(37%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(34%)13 25(66%)

/Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Club MG

Gremio Novorizontino

Shots

Athletic Club MG

Total shots

10.05 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 2.75

Gremio Novorizontino

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 3.48

Athletic Club MG Pass Gremio Novorizontino

Total passes

12698

Avg. 334 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

12921

Avg. 340 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Club MG

Played games

Gremio Novorizontino

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.16

Clean sheets

0.39

4.50

171

Corners

173

4.55

19.63

746

Throw-ins

701

18.45

1.47

Offsides

1.82

2.66

101

GK saves

117

3.08

Athletic Club MG

DISCIPLINARY

Gremio Novorizontino

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.42

2.00

0.08

0.21

11.34

431

Fouls

416

10.95

9.66

367

Tackles

319

8.39

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino on 17 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Club MG vs Gremio Novorizontino Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Club MG's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Gremio Novorizontino's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie B standings and the Brazil Serie B form table to understand exactly where Athletic Club MG and Gremio Novorizontino sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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