Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 December

Athletic Bilbao

W D W W W

4th place in Spanish La Liga

2-1

04/12/2024 16:00

Real Madrid

W W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on 04 December 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 4th with 70 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 2nd with 84 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Athletic Bilbao have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-12-04

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

2024-12-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/12/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

31/03/2024 15:00

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

12/08/2023 15:30

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

04/06/2023 12:30

Real Madrid

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

22/01/2023 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

03/02/2022 16:30

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 0

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

16/01/2022 14:30

Real Madrid

2 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA SUC

Athletic Bilbao

17%

Draw

17%

Real Madrid

67%

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

01/12/2024 13:30

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

28/11/2024 13:45

Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Elfsborg UEFA EL

24/11/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Real Sociedad SPA D1

10/11/2024 13:30

Real Valladolid 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

07/11/2024 13:45

Ludogorets Razgrad 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao UEFA EL

03/11/2024 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Real Betis SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

01/12/2024 11:15

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Getafe SPA D1

27/11/2024 16:00

Liverpool 2 - 0 Real Madrid UEFA CL

24/11/2024 13:30

Leganes 0 - 3 Real Madrid SPA D1

09/11/2024 09:00

Real Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna SPA D1

05/11/2024 16:00

Real Madrid 1 - 3 AC Milan UEFA CL

26/10/2024 15:00

Real Madrid 0 - 4 FC Barcelona SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

403

Avg. per game

1.34

Conceded

331

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored

628

Avg. per game

2.09

Conceded

314

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

208 (69%)92 (31%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

266 (89%)34 (11%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.05 avg / game

Blocked

747 total

Avg. 3.47

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1066 total

Avg. 4.28

Athletic Bilbao Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

102057

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

168163

Avg. 586 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

300

Played games

Real Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

104

Clean sheets

110

0.37

5.58

1674

Corners

1759

5.86

17.37

5210

Throw-ins

4519

15.06

1.72

516

Offsides

564

1.88

2.15

645

GK saves

875

2.92

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.86

557

536

1.79

0.09

0.08

11.70

3511

Fouls

2913

9.71

11.04

3312

Tackles

3868

12.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid on 04 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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