Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves preview before placing your bet.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves: Starting Lineups Time : 11/05/2025 12:30

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Finished
Alaves
90+3' event Inigo Lekue / Maroan Harrouch Sannadi
90+3' event Mikel Vesga / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
71' event Manuel Sanchez De La Pena
67' event Oihan Sancet / Peio Canales
55' event Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Alvaro Djalo
55' event Unai Gomez / Aingeru Olabarrieta
33' event Alvaro Djalo
event 90+3' Ander Guevara Lajo
event 87' Pau Cabanes / Jon Guridi
event 87' Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Carles Alena Castillo
event 77' Carlos Martin / Antonio Blanco
event 72' Nahuel Tenaglia / Manuel Sanchez De La Pena
event 72' Asier Villalibre / Antonio Martinez Lopez
90+3' event Inigo Lekue / Maroan Harrouch Sannadi
event 90+3' Ander Guevara Lajo
90+3' event Mikel Vesga / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
event 87' Pau Cabanes / Jon Guridi
71' event Manuel Sanchez De La Pena
event 87' Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Carles Alena Castillo
67' event Oihan Sancet / Peio Canales
event 77' Carlos Martin / Antonio Blanco
55' event Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Alvaro Djalo
event 72' Nahuel Tenaglia / Manuel Sanchez De La Pena
55' event Unai Gomez / Aingeru Olabarrieta
event 72' Asier Villalibre / Antonio Martinez Lopez
33' event Alvaro Djalo
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
Substitutions
#6 Mikel Vesga
#15 Inigo Lekue
#12 Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
#8 Oihan Sancet
#20 Unai Gomez
#32 Adama Boiro
#14 Unai Nunez Gestoso
#4 Aitor Paredes
#13 Julen Agirrezabala
#43 Endika Bujan
#35 Alejandro Rego
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao Alaves Alaves
11Shots3
3Shots on Goal1
17Fouls12
9Corner Kick2
12Free kick17
0Offside2
1Yellow card1
40Aerial48
1Save2
17Successful Tackles26
15Interceptions6
31Long pass16
5Substitution5
7Shots off goal2
1Hit The Post0
26Head Success18
1Blocked0
17Tackle26
12Dribbles4
22Throw-in27
445Passes302
123Attacks115
55Dangerous attacks27
4Corner Kicks(HT)0
Alaves Alaves
Substitutions
#14 Nahuel Tenaglia
#15 Carlos Martin
#19 Pau Cabanes
#9 Asier Villalibre
#23 Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni
#10 Tomás Conechny
#13 Jesus Owono
#4 Aleksandar Sedlar
#16 Hugo Novoa Ramos
#17 Enrique Garcia Martinez, Kike
#24 Joan Joan Moreno
#36 Adrian Pica
Commentary
90+3' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Inigo Lekue / Maroan Harrouch Sannadi
90+3' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Mikel Vesga / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
90+3' Ander Guevara Lajo - Alaves receive a yellow card
87' Alaves — substitution: Pau Cabanes / Jon Guridi
87' Alaves — substitution: Carlos Nahuel Benavidez Protesoni / Carles Alena Castillo
77' Alaves — substitution: Carlos Martin / Antonio Blanco
72' Alaves — substitution: Nahuel Tenaglia / Manuel Sanchez De La Pena
72' Alaves — substitution: Asier Villalibre / Antonio Martinez Lopez
71' Own goal! Manuel Sanchez De La Pena - Athletic Bilbao
67' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Oihan Sancet / Peio Canales
55' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Alvaro Djalo
55' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Unai Gomez / Aingeru Olabarrieta
33' Alvaro Djalo - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alaves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Alaves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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