Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 11

Athletic Bilbao

W D W W W

4th place in Spanish La Liga

1-0

11/05/2025 16:30

Alaves

W D L W W

15th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves on May 11, 2025 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves preview before placing for you.

Athletic Bilbao are currently 4th with 70 points after 38 matches.
Alaves sit 15th with 42 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alaves have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:30

2025-05-11

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves - Prediction & Odds

Athletic Bilbao

Alaves

2025-05-11 16:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

15/12/2024 15:15

Alaves

1 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

16/03/2024 20:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Alaves

SPA D1

16/01/2024 20:00

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Alaves

SPA CUP

22/09/2023 19:00

Alaves

0 - 2

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

06/08/2022 09:00

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 1

Alaves

INT CF

09/01/2022 17:30

Alaves

0 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

Athletic Bilbao

50%

Draw

50%

Alaves

Athletic Bilbao Last 6 matches

01/05/2025 19:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 3 Manchester United UEFA EL

23/04/2025 17:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Las Palmas SPA D1

20/04/2025 19:00

Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

17/04/2025 19:00

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Glasgow Rangers UEFA EL

13/04/2025 19:00

Athletic Bilbao 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

10/04/2025 19:00

Glasgow Rangers 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Alaves

03/05/2025 12:00

Alaves 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

23/04/2025 19:30

Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad SPA D1

20/04/2025 16:30

Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

13/04/2025 14:15

Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

05/04/2025 12:00

Girona 0 - 1 Alaves SPA D1

29/03/2025 17:30

Alaves 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

210

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored

190

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

145 (48%)155 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

143 (49%)151 (51%)

Athletic Bilbao

Recent matches

Alaves

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Athletic Bilbao

Alaves

Shots

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.07 avg / game

Blocked

746 total

Avg. 3.49

Alaves

Total shots

10.93 avg / game

Blocked

549 total

Avg. 2.76

Athletic Bilbao Pass Alaves

Total passes

101749

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

84253

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Athletic Bilbao

300

Played games

Alaves

294

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

104

Clean sheets

0.29

5.57

1671

Corners

1344

4.57

17.28

5184

Throw-ins

4853

16.51

1.72

515

Offsides

498

1.69

2.14

642

GK saves

626

2.13

Athletic Bilbao

DISCIPLINARY

Alaves

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

556

653

2.22

0.09

0.11

11.66

3498

Fouls

3641

12.38

11.00

3299

Tackles

3273

11.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Athletic Bilbao's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alaves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Athletic Bilbao and Alaves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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