Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Prediction Match Centre

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Starting Lineups Time : 14/02/2026 13:45

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Finished
Newcastle United
78' event Jadon Sancho / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
77' event Ian Maatsen / Morgan Rogers
65' event Ollie Watkins / Tammy Abraham
65' event Emiliano Buendia Stati / Ross Barkley
45+4' event Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero / Leon Bailey
45+1' event Marco Bizot
42' event Lucas Digne
14' event Tammy Abraham
4' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 90' Alex Murphy / Kieran Trippier
event 88' Nick Woltemade
event 80' Joseph Willock / Jacob Ramsey
event 76' Sandro Tonali
event 63' Anthony Gordon / William Osula
event 63' Sandro Tonali
event 63' Anthony Elanga / Jacob Murphy
event 55' Jacob Ramsey
event 52' Harvey Barnes
event 25' Malick Thiaw
78' event Jadon Sancho / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 90' Alex Murphy / Kieran Trippier
77' event Ian Maatsen / Morgan Rogers
event 88' Nick Woltemade
65' event Ollie Watkins / Tammy Abraham
event 80' Joseph Willock / Jacob Ramsey
65' event Emiliano Buendia Stati / Ross Barkley
event 76' Sandro Tonali
45+4' event Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero / Leon Bailey
event 63' Anthony Gordon / William Osula
45+1' event Marco Bizot
event 63' Sandro Tonali
42' event Lucas Digne
event 63' Anthony Elanga / Jacob Murphy
14' event Tammy Abraham
event 55' Jacob Ramsey
4' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 52' Harvey Barnes
event 25' Malick Thiaw
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#23 Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero
#10 Emiliano Buendia Stati
#11 Ollie Watkins
#22 Ian Maatsen
#19 Jadon Sancho
#4 Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
#5 Tyrone Mings
#16 Andrés García Robledo
#79 Mohamed Kone
Aston Villa Aston Villa Newcastle United Newcastle United
8Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
11Fouls10
6Corner Kick5
10Free kick11
1Offside3
2Yellow card3
1Red card0
32Aerial36
0Save1
20Successful Tackles17
11Interceptions5
19Long pass24
1Assist1
7Successful center4
3Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
19Head Success15
3Blocked4
7Tackle9
6Dribbles7
13Throw-in16
362Passes476
57Attacks113
32Dangerous attacks64
3Corner Kicks(HT)0
2BigChances3
1BigChancesMissed2
6ShotsInsideBox8
2ShotsOutsideBox4
54DuelsWon49
0.77ExpectedGoals1.31
0.77xGNonPenalty1.31
0.54xGOT1.24
25Touches In Opposition Box31
12AccurateCrosses18
35GroundDuelsWon34
19AerialDuelsWon15
24Clearances21
Newcastle United Newcastle United
Substitutions
#20 Anthony Elanga
#10 Anthony Gordon
#28 Joseph Willock
#37 Alex Murphy
#1 Nick Pope
#26 John Ruddy
#61 Leo Shahar
#64 Park Seung Soo
#62 Sean Neave
Commentary
90' Newcastle United — substitution: Alex Murphy / Kieran Trippier
88' Goal! Nick Woltemade - Newcastle United
80' Newcastle United — substitution: Joseph Willock / Jacob Ramsey
78' Aston Villa — substitution: Jadon Sancho / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
77' Aston Villa — substitution: Ian Maatsen / Morgan Rogers
76' Goal! Sandro Tonali - Newcastle United
65' Aston Villa — substitution: Ollie Watkins / Tammy Abraham
65' Aston Villa — substitution: Emiliano Buendia Stati / Ross Barkley
63' Newcastle United — substitution: Anthony Gordon / William Osula
63' Goal! Sandro Tonali - Newcastle United
63' Newcastle United — substitution: Anthony Elanga / Jacob Murphy
55' Jacob Ramsey - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
52' Harvey Barnes - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
45+4' Aston Villa — substitution: Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero / Leon Bailey
45+1' Marco Bizot - Aston Villa receive a red card
42' Lucas Digne - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
25' Malick Thiaw - Newcastle United receive a yellow card
14' Goal! Tammy Abraham - Aston Villa
4' Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo - Aston Villa receive a yellow card

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less