Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Aston Villa

No standing data

1-3

Aston Villa
Win Probability 44%

14/02/2026 10:45

Newcastle United

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 10:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa will face Newcastle United in England FA Cup on February 14, 2026 at 10:45.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.03.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:45

2026-02-14

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Newcastle United

2026-02-14 10:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Aston Villa and Newcastle United in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

25/01/2026 07:00

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

16/08/2025 04:30

Aston Villa

0 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

19/04/2025 09:30

Aston Villa

4 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

26/12/2024 08:00

Newcastle United

3 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

30/01/2024 13:15

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Newcastle United

ENG PR

12/08/2023 09:30

Newcastle United

5 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Newcastle United

50%

Draw

17%

Aston Villa

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 08:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa

ENG PR

01/02/2026 07:00

Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford

ENG PR

29/01/2026 13:00

Aston Villa 3 - 2 Red Bull Salzburg

UEFA EL

25/01/2026 07:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Aston Villa

ENG PR

22/01/2026 10:45

Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa

UEFA EL

18/01/2026 09:30

Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton

ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

04/02/2026 13:00

Manchester City 3 - 1 Newcastle United

ENG LC

31/01/2026 13:00

Liverpool 4 - 1 Newcastle United

ENG PR

28/01/2026 13:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Newcastle United

UEFA CL

25/01/2026 07:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Aston Villa

ENG PR

21/01/2026 13:00

Newcastle United 3 - 0 PSV Eindhoven

UEFA CL

18/01/2026 07:00

Wolves 0 - 0 Newcastle United

ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Aston Villa

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 27 home matches

YesNo

18 (67%)9 (33%)

In last 27 home matches

NoYes

23 (74%)8 (26%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(74%)20 7(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(97%)30 1(3%)

Under /Over

(30%)8 19(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)13 18(58%)

Under /Over

(48%)13 14(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(74%)23 8(26%)

/Yes

(48%)13 14(52%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)22 9(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Newcastle United

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

13.54 avg / game

Blocked

104 total

Avg. 4.00

Newcastle United

Total shots

14.55 avg / game

Blocked

115 total

Avg. 3.71

Aston Villa Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

11804

Avg. 454 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

13641

Avg. 440 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.23

5.33

144

Corners

203

6.55

14.74

398

Throw-ins

597

19.26

1.11

Offsides

1.77

2.93

GK saves

103

3.32

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.11

1.65

0.07

0.06

9.96

269

Fouls

318

10.26

8.15

220

Tackles

282

9.10

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Newcastle United on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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