Aston Villa vs Manchester United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

1-2

11/02/2024 12:30

Manchester United

W D L L W

8th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Manchester United on 11 February 2024 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Manchester United preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Manchester United sit 8th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Aston Villa have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2024-02-11

Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Manchester United

2024-02-11 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

26/12/2023 16:00

Manchester United

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

30/04/2023 09:00

Manchester United

1 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

10/11/2022 16:00

Manchester United

4 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG LC

06/11/2022 10:00

Aston Villa

3 - 1

Manchester United

ENG PR

23/07/2022 05:45

Manchester United

2 - 2

Aston Villa

INT CF

15/01/2022 13:30

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Manchester United

ENG PR

Aston Villa

17%

Draw

33%

Manchester United

50%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

03/02/2024 13:30

Sheffield United 0 - 5 Aston Villa ENG PR

30/01/2024 16:15

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle United ENG PR

26/01/2024 15:45

Chelsea 0 - 0 Aston Villa ENG FAC

14/01/2024 10:00

Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

06/01/2024 13:30

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG FAC

30/12/2023 11:00

Aston Villa 3 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Manchester United

04/02/2024 10:00

Manchester United 3 - 0 West Ham United ENG PR

01/02/2024 16:15

Wolves 3 - 4 Manchester United ENG PR

28/01/2024 12:30

Newport County 2 - 4 Manchester United ENG FAC

14/01/2024 12:30

Manchester United 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

08/01/2024 16:15

Wigan Athletic 0 - 2 Manchester United ENG FAC

30/12/2023 13:30

Nottingham Forest 2 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

392

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored

499

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

398

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

245 (82%)55 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

240 (80%)60 (20%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Manchester United

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Manchester United

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.35

Manchester United

Total shots

14.56 avg / game

Blocked

1064 total

Avg. 4.27

Aston Villa Pass Manchester United

Total passes

113828

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

136517

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

Manchester United

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.27

5.22

1565

Corners

1535

5.12

13.18

3954

Throw-ins

4805

16.02

1.22

365

Offsides

560

1.87

2.62

787

GK saves

839

2.80

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Manchester United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

543

557

1.86

0.06

0.07

9.60

2881

Fouls

3084

10.28

11.98

3595

Tackles

4561

15.20

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Manchester United on 11 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Manchester United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Manchester United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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