Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Aston Villa

W L L W D

7th place in English Premier League

1-0

04/03/2023 15:00

Crystal Palace

L W L W D

11th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on 04 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 7th with 61 points after 38 matches.
Crystal Palace sit 11th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Crystal Palace have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-03-04

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Crystal Palace

2023-03-04 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

20/08/2022 14:00

Crystal Palace

3 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

15/05/2022 13:00

Aston Villa

1 - 1

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

27/11/2021 15:00

Crystal Palace

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

16/05/2021 11:00

Crystal Palace

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

26/12/2020 15:00

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

12/07/2020 13:15

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Crystal Palace

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

17%

Crystal Palace

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

18/02/2023 12:30

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Arsenal ENG PR

12/02/2023 16:30

Manchester City 3 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

04/02/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 2 - 4 Leicester City ENG PR

21/01/2023 15:10

Southampton 0 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

13/01/2023 20:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

08/01/2023 16:30

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Stevenage Borough ENG FAC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Crystal Palace

18/02/2023 15:00

Brentford 1 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

11/02/2023 15:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

04/02/2023 15:00

Manchester United 2 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

21/01/2023 17:30

Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

18/01/2023 20:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

15/01/2023 14:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Aston Villa

Crystal Palace

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

17 (89%)2 (11%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Crystal Palace

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(21%)4 15(79%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Crystal Palace

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

11.74 avg / game

Blocked

55 total

Avg. 3.24

Crystal Palace

Total shots

11.95 avg / game

Blocked

71 total

Avg. 4.44

Aston Villa Pass Crystal Palace

Total passes

7938

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

7896

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Crystal Palace

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.26

4.74

Corners

100

5.26

18.37

349

Throw-ins

378

19.89

1.32

Offsides

1.58

2.11

GK saves

3.21

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Crystal Palace

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

1.84

0.00

0.11

9.95

189

Fouls

218

11.47

16.84

320

Tackles

354

18.63

NEXT MATCHES

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Crystal Palace's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Crystal Palace sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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