Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 April

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

2-2

27/04/2024 19:00

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 27 April 2024 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Chelsea sit 6th with 63 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2024-04-27

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Chelsea

2024-04-27 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

07/02/2024 20:00

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Chelsea

ENG FAC

26/01/2024 19:45

Chelsea

0 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG FAC

24/09/2023 13:00

Chelsea

0 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

01/04/2023 16:30

Chelsea

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

11/12/2022 14:10

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Chelsea

INT CF

16/10/2022 13:00

Aston Villa

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

17%

Chelsea

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

18/04/2024 16:45

Lille 2 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

14/04/2024 15:30

Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

11/04/2024 19:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Lille UEFA ECL

06/04/2024 14:00

Aston Villa 3 - 3 Brentford ENG PR

03/04/2024 19:15

Manchester City 4 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

30/03/2024 17:30

Aston Villa 2 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

20/04/2024 16:15

Manchester City 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG FAC

15/04/2024 19:00

Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton ENG PR

07/04/2024 16:30

Sheffield United 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

04/04/2024 19:15

Chelsea 4 - 3 Manchester United ENG PR

30/03/2024 15:00

Chelsea 2 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

17/03/2024 12:45

Chelsea 4 - 2 Leicester City ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.47

Scored

Avg. per game

2.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

18 (95%)1 (5%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

16 (84%)3 (16%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

/Yes

(74%)14 5(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

14.79 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 4.39

Chelsea

Total shots

16.47 avg / game

Blocked

87 total

Avg. 4.58

Aston Villa Pass Chelsea

Total passes

8883

Avg. 468 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

10770

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.32

6.00

114

Corners

115

6.05

14.68

279

Throw-ins

327

17.21

1.26

Offsides

2.26

2.42

GK saves

3.00

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

2.53

0.05

0.11

11.11

211

Fouls

201

10.58

14.37

273

Tackles

323

17.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 27 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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