Aston Villa vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 December

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley on 30 December 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Starting Lineups Time : 30/12/2023 11:00

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Finished
Burnley
90+7' event John McGinn
90+5' event Damian Martinez
90+2' event Leander Dendoncker / Leon Bailey
89' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
88' event Jacob Ramsey
82' event Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
62' event Pau Torres / Clement Lenglet
42' event Moussa Diaby
28' event Leon Bailey
18' event Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
event 74' Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Wilson Odobert
event 74' Connor Roberts / Johann Berg Gudmundsson
event 71' Lyle Foster
event 59' Aaron Ramsey / Zeki Amdouni
event 56' Sander Berge
event 42' Sander Berge
event 31' Zeki Amdouni
event 23' Charlie Taylor
event 17' Hannes Delcroix / Louis Beyer
90+7' event John McGinn
event 74' Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Wilson Odobert
90+5' event Damian Martinez
event 74' Connor Roberts / Johann Berg Gudmundsson
90+2' event Leander Dendoncker / Leon Bailey
event 71' Lyle Foster
89' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 59' Aaron Ramsey / Zeki Amdouni
88' event Jacob Ramsey
event 56' Sander Berge
82' event Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
event 42' Sander Berge
62' event Pau Torres / Clement Lenglet
event 31' Zeki Amdouni
42' event Moussa Diaby
event 23' Charlie Taylor
28' event Leon Bailey
event 17' Hannes Delcroix / Louis Beyer
18' event Ezri Konsa Ngoyo
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#32 Leander Dendoncker
#24 Jhon Durán
#14 Pau Torres
#22 Nicolo Zaniolo
#16 Calum Chambers
#47 Tim Iroegbunam
#78 Sam Proctor
#42 Filip Marschall
Aston Villa Aston Villa Burnley Burnley
19Shots9
7Shots on Goal5
9Fouls14
6Corner Kick2
20Free kick10
1Offside6
4Yellow card3
0Red card1
17Aerial29
3Save4
9Successful Tackles14
4Interceptions4
2Assist2
3Substitution4
7Shots off goal3
10Head Success13
5Blocked1
10Tackle15
6Dribbles3
12Throw-in15
454Passes237
93Attacks57
54Dangerous attacks26
3Corner Kicks(HT)2
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#31 Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye
#44 Hannes Delcroix
#21 Aaron Ramsey
#14 Connor Roberts
#34 Jacob Bruun Larsen
#45 Michael Obafemi
#15 Nathan Redmond
#9 Jay Rodriguez
#49 Arijanet Muric
Commentary
90+7' John McGinn - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
90+5' Damian Martinez - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
90+2' Aston Villa — substitution: Leander Dendoncker / Leon Bailey
89' Penalty scored! Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo - Aston Villa
88' Jacob Ramsey - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
82' Aston Villa — substitution: Jhon Durán / Moussa Diaby
74' Burnley — substitution: Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye / Wilson Odobert
74' Burnley — substitution: Connor Roberts / Johann Berg Gudmundsson
71' Goal! Lyle Foster - Burnley
62' Aston Villa — substitution: Pau Torres / Clement Lenglet
59' Burnley — substitution: Aaron Ramsey / Zeki Amdouni
56' Sander Berge - Burnley receive second yellow card
42' Goal! Moussa Diaby - Aston Villa
42' Sander Berge - Burnley receive a yellow card
31' Goal! Zeki Amdouni - Burnley
28' Goal! Leon Bailey - Aston Villa
23' Charlie Taylor - Burnley receive a yellow card
18' Ezri Konsa Ngoyo - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
17' Burnley — substitution: Hannes Delcroix / Louis Beyer

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley on 30 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Predictions

Find every upcoming fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less