Aston Villa vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 December

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

3-2

30/12/2023 11:00

Burnley

D W D L L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley on 30 December 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 24 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 69%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2023-12-30

Aston Villa vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Burnley

2023-12-30 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

27/08/2023 09:00

Burnley

1 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

19/05/2022 15:00

Aston Villa

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

07/05/2022 10:00

Burnley

1 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

27/01/2021 14:00

Burnley

3 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

17/12/2020 14:00

Aston Villa

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

01/01/2020 08:30

Burnley

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

33%

Burnley

17%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

26/12/2023 16:00

Manchester United 3 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

22/12/2023 16:00

Aston Villa 1 - 1 Sheffield United ENG PR

17/12/2023 10:00

Brentford 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

14/12/2023 13:45

HSK Zrinjski Mostar 1 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

09/12/2023 13:30

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

06/12/2023 16:15

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Manchester City ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Burnley

26/12/2023 13:30

Burnley 0 - 2 Liverpool ENG PR

23/12/2023 11:00

Fulham 0 - 2 Burnley ENG PR

16/12/2023 13:30

Burnley 0 - 2 Everton ENG PR

09/12/2023 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

05/12/2023 15:30

Wolves 1 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

02/12/2023 11:00

Burnley 5 - 0 Sheffield United ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

184 (61%)116 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

143 (48%)153 (52%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Burnley

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

833 total

Avg. 3.36

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Aston Villa Pass Burnley

Total passes

114242

Avg. 436 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

Burnley

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.31

5.20

1561

Corners

1393

4.71

13.24

3972

Throw-ins

5108

17.26

1.23

369

Offsides

524

1.77

2.64

793

GK saves

820

2.77

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

544

472

1.59

0.06

0.06

9.65

2895

Fouls

2875

9.71

12.03

3610

Tackles

3720

12.57

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Burnley on 30 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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