Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

6-1

30/09/2023 07:30

Brighton Hove Albion

L L W D L

11th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 30 September 2023 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa will face Brighton Hove Albion in English Premier League on September 30, 2023 at 07:30.
Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 11th with 48 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans yellow with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2023-09-30

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

2023-09-30 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

28/05/2023 11:30

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

08/12/2022 09:00

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

INT CF

13/11/2022 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

26/02/2022 11:30

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

20/11/2021 11:00

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

13/02/2021 16:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Aston Villa

33%

Draw

33%

Brighton Hove Albion

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

27/09/2023 14:45

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Everton

ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Aston Villa

ENG PR

21/09/2023 12:45

Legia Warszawa 3 - 2 Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

16/09/2023 10:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Crystal Palace

ENG PR

03/09/2023 09:00

Liverpool 3 - 0 Aston Villa

ENG PR

31/08/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 3 - 0 Hibernian

UEFA ECL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

27/09/2023 14:45

Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG LC

24/09/2023 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 1 AFC Bournemouth

ENG PR

21/09/2023 15:00

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 3 AEK Athens

UEFA EL

16/09/2023 10:00

Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

02/09/2023 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 1 Newcastle United

ENG PR

26/08/2023 12:30

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 3 West Ham United

ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

27 (71%)11 (29%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (58%)16 (42%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)33 5(13%)

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

/Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

13.55 avg / game

Blocked

138 total

Avg. 3.73

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

14.82 avg / game

Blocked

162 total

Avg. 4.50

Aston Villa Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

17738

Avg. 467 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

23201

Avg. 611 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.16

6.08

231

Corners

206

5.42

16.13

613

Throw-ins

543

14.29

1.24

Offsides

2.21

3.16

120

GK saves

109

2.87

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

2.37

0.05

0.08

10.84

412

Fouls

414

10.89

14.37

546

Tackles

640

16.84

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 30 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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