Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 May

Aston Villa

W L L W D

7th place in English Premier League

2-1

28/05/2023 08:30

Brighton Hove Albion

L W L W D

6th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 28 May 2023 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 7th with 61 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 6th with 62 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Brighton Hove Albion have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2023-05-28

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

2023-05-28 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

08/12/2022 06:00

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

INT CF

13/11/2022 07:00

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

26/02/2022 08:30

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

20/11/2021 08:00

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

13/02/2021 13:00

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

21/11/2020 08:00

Aston Villa

1 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

Aston Villa

50%

Draw

33%

Brighton Hove Albion

17%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

20/05/2023 07:00

Liverpool 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

13/05/2023 07:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

06/05/2023 07:00

Wolves 1 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

30/04/2023 06:00

Manchester United 1 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

25/04/2023 11:45

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

22/04/2023 07:00

Brentford 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

24/05/2023 12:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

21/05/2023 06:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 1 Southampton ENG PR

18/05/2023 11:30

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

14/05/2023 08:30

Arsenal 0 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

08/05/2023 09:30

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 5 Everton ENG PR

04/05/2023 12:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 0 Manchester United ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (58%)16 (42%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

/Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

11.18 avg / game

Blocked

116 total

Avg. 3.22

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

16.11 avg / game

Blocked

163 total

Avg. 4.41

Aston Villa Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

15695

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

20841

Avg. 548 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.32

4.29

163

Corners

233

6.13

17.39

661

Throw-ins

693

18.24

1.53

Offsides

1.84

2.92

111

GK saves

2.18

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.11

1.53

0.03

0.00

10.92

415

Fouls

426

11.21

16.53

628

Tackles

604

15.89

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 28 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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