Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 09

Aston Villa

L W W W D

1st place in Group E

2-1

09/11/2023 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

D L W W W

3rd place in Group E

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar on November 09, 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing for you.

Aston Villa are currently 1st with 13 points after 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 3rd with 6 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. AZ Alkmaar have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-11-09

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

AZ Alkmaar

2023-11-09 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/11/2023

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aston Villa	13	6	4	1	1	12	7	5
02 Legia Warszawa	12	6	4	0	2	10	6	4
03 AZ Alkmaar	6	6	2	0	4	7	12	-5
04 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	4	6	1	1	4	6	10	-4

Head To Head

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 4

Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

Aston Villa

100%

Draw

AZ Alkmaar

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

05/11/2023 10:00

Nottingham Forest 2 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

29/10/2023 10:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Luton Town ENG PR

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 4 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

22/10/2023 11:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 West Ham United ENG PR

08/10/2023 09:00

Wolves 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

05/10/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 1 - 0 HSK Zrinjski Mostar UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

04/11/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 4 Aston Villa UEFA ECL

21/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 SC Heerenveen HOL D1

08/10/2023 08:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

05/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

01/10/2023 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

273

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

219

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

185 (62%)115 (38%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

12.16 avg / game

Blocked

828 total

Avg. 3.37

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

Aston Villa Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

113540

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

300

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.31

5.24

1573

Corners

1626

5.42

13.08

3923

Throw-ins

4240

14.13

1.21

363

Offsides

492

1.64

2.61

782

GK saves

629

2.10

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.80

539

476

1.59

0.06

0.05

9.57

2870

Fouls

2953

9.84

11.93

3578

Tackles

3788

12.63

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar on 09 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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