Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 November

Aston Villa

L W W W D

1st place in Group E

2-1

09/11/2023 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

D L W W W

3rd place in Group E

UEFA Europa Conference League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar on 09 November 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa will face AZ Alkmaar in UEFA Europa Conference League on November 9, 2023 at 16:00.
Aston Villa are currently 1st with 13 points after 6 matches.
AZ Alkmaar sit 3rd with 6 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.37.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-11-09

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

AZ Alkmaar

2023-11-09 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/11/2023

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aston Villa	13	6	4	1	1	12	7	5
02 Legia Warszawa	12	6	4	0	2	10	6	4
03 AZ Alkmaar	6	6	2	0	4	7	12	-5
04 HSK Zrinjski Mostar	4	6	1	1	4	6	10	-4

Head To Head

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 4

Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

AZ Alkmaar

Draw

Aston Villa

100%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

05/11/2023 10:00

Nottingham Forest 2 - 0 Aston Villa

ENG PR

29/10/2023 10:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Luton Town

ENG PR

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 4 Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

22/10/2023 11:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 West Ham United

ENG PR

08/10/2023 09:00

Wolves 1 - 1 Aston Villa

ENG PR

05/10/2023 15:00

Aston Villa 1 - 0 HSK Zrinjski Mostar

UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

04/11/2023 13:45

Excelsior SBV 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

26/10/2023 12:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 4 Aston Villa

UEFA ECL

21/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 SC Heerenveen

HOL D1

08/10/2023 08:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

05/10/2023 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Legia Warszawa

UEFA ECL

01/10/2023 10:45

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard

HOL D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Europa Conference...

Played games

Aston Villa

AZ Alkmaar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.14

Scored

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 14 matches

YesNo

12 (86%)2 (14%)

In last 14 matches

NoYes

9 (90%)1 (10%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(86%)12 2(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

Under /Over

(43%)6 8(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

Under /Over

(57%)8 6(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

/Yes

(57%)8 6(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)5 5(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

13.36 avg / game

Blocked

47 total

Avg. 3.62

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

11.30 avg / game

Blocked

20 total

Avg. 2.00

Aston Villa Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

7155

Avg. 511 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

4947

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.40

6.29

Corners

6.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.57

Offsides

3.50

2.00

GK saves

1.90

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.29

1.60

0.07

0.20

10.43

146

Fouls

131

13.10

10.79

151

Tackles

123

12.30

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar on 09 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Europa Conference League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Europa Conference League standings and the UEFA Europa Conference League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Europa Conference League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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