Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 09

Aston Villa

W W D L D

4th place in English Premier League

1-0

09/12/2023 17:30

Arsenal

W W W W W

2nd place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal on December 09, 2023 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Arsenal preview before placing for you.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 68 points after 38 matches.
Arsenal sit 2nd with 89 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Aston Villa have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2023-12-09

Aston Villa vs Arsenal - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Arsenal

2023-12-09 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

18/02/2023 12:30

Aston Villa

2 - 4

Arsenal

ENG PR

31/08/2022 18:30

Arsenal

2 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

19/03/2022 12:30

Aston Villa

0 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

22/10/2021 19:00

Arsenal

3 - 1

Aston Villa

ENG PR

06/02/2021 12:30

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

08/11/2020 19:15

Arsenal

0 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

Aston Villa

33%

Draw

Arsenal

67%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

30/11/2023 20:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

26/11/2023 14:00

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

12/11/2023 14:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Fulham ENG PR

09/11/2023 20:00

Aston Villa 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar UEFA ECL

05/11/2023 14:00

Nottingham Forest 2 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

29/10/2023 14:00

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Luton Town ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Arsenal

02/12/2023 15:00

Arsenal 2 - 1 Wolves ENG PR

29/11/2023 20:00

Arsenal 6 - 0 Lens UEFA CL

25/11/2023 17:30

Brentford 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

11/11/2023 15:00

Arsenal 3 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

08/11/2023 20:00

Arsenal 2 - 0 Sevilla UEFA CL

04/11/2023 17:30

Newcastle United 1 - 0 Arsenal ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Aston Villa

Arsenal

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.42

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

16 (84%)3 (16%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

14 (74%)5 (26%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Arsenal

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

/Yes

(74%)14 5(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Arsenal

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

14.79 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 4.39

Arsenal

Total shots

18.95 avg / game

Blocked

109 total

Avg. 6.06

Aston Villa Pass Arsenal

Total passes

8883

Avg. 468 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

10661

Avg. 561 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.37

6.00

114

Corners

139

7.32

14.68

279

Throw-ins

291

15.32

1.26

Offsides

2.47

2.42

GK saves

1.58

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Arsenal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

1.79

0.05

0.05

11.11

211

Fouls

195

10.26

14.37

273

Tackles

298

15.68

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal on 09 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Arsenal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Arsenal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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