Arsenal vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 May

Arsenal

W D L D W

2nd place in English Premier League

1-0

18/05/2025 11:30

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Newcastle United on 18 May 2025 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal are currently 2nd with 74 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 5th with 66 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Arsenal have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2025-05-18

Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Newcastle United

2025-05-18 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

05/02/2025 16:00

Newcastle United

2 - 0

Arsenal

ENG LC

07/01/2025 16:00

Arsenal

0 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG LC

02/11/2024 08:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

24/02/2024 16:00

Arsenal

4 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

04/11/2023 13:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Arsenal

ENG PR

07/05/2023 11:30

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Arsenal

ENG PR

Arsenal

33%

Draw

Newcastle United

67%

Arsenal Last 6 matches

07/05/2025 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

03/05/2025 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

29/04/2025 15:00

Arsenal 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

23/04/2025 15:00

Arsenal 2 - 2 Crystal Palace ENG PR

20/04/2025 09:00

Ipswich Town 0 - 4 Arsenal ENG PR

16/04/2025 15:00

Real Madrid 1 - 2 Arsenal UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

11/05/2025 07:00

Newcastle United 2 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

04/05/2025 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

26/04/2025 10:00

Newcastle United 3 - 0 Ipswich Town ENG PR

19/04/2025 12:30

Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

16/04/2025 14:30

Newcastle United 5 - 0 Crystal Palace ENG PR

13/04/2025 11:30

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Arsenal

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

22 (58%)16 (42%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

/Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Newcastle United

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

14.42 avg / game

Blocked

146 total

Avg. 4.87

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.06

Arsenal Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

18546

Avg. 488 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

16950

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.34

6.61

251

Corners

217

5.71

15.68

596

Throw-ins

704

18.53

2.13

Offsides

1.89

2.32

GK saves

122

3.21

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.82

1.79

0.16

0.03

10.45

397

Fouls

394

10.37

15.11

574

Tackles

602

15.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Newcastle United on 18 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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