Arsenal vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 May

Arsenal

L W W W W

1st place in English Premier League

1-0

18/05/2026 15:00

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Burnley on 18 May 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal are currently 1st with 85 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 22 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 86%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-05-18

Arsenal vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Burnley

2026-05-18 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

01/11/2025 11:00

Burnley

0 - 2

Arsenal

ENG PR

17/02/2024 11:00

Burnley

0 - 5

Arsenal

ENG PR

11/11/2023 11:00

Arsenal

3 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

23/01/2022 10:00

Arsenal

0 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

18/09/2021 10:00

Burnley

0 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

06/03/2021 08:30

Burnley

1 - 1

Arsenal

ENG PR

Arsenal

67%

Draw

33%

Burnley

Arsenal Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 11:30

West Ham United 0 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

05/05/2026 15:00

Arsenal 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

02/05/2026 12:30

Arsenal 3 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

29/04/2026 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

25/04/2026 12:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

19/04/2026 11:30

Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Burnley

10/05/2026 09:00

Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

01/05/2026 15:00

Leeds United 3 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

22/04/2026 15:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

19/04/2026 09:00

Nottingham Forest 4 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

11/04/2026 10:00

Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

21/03/2026 11:00

Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Arsenal

Burnley

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

13 (68%)6 (32%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

8 (42%)11 (58%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

/Yes

(42%)8 11(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)8 11(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Burnley

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

16.05 avg / game

Blocked

98 total

Avg. 5.16

Burnley

Total shots

10.79 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 3.78

Arsenal Pass Burnley

Total passes

9099

Avg. 479 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

7416

Avg. 390 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

Played games

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.58

Clean sheets

0.21

5.89

112

Corners

3.74

16.89

321

Throw-ins

371

19.53

2.11

Offsides

1.32

1.37

GK saves

4.00

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.89

1.37

0.00

0.05

10.00

190

Fouls

189

9.95

9.00

171

Tackles

189

9.95

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Burnley on 18 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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