Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 May

Arsenal

W D W L D

1st place in Group A

1-0

05/05/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid

W D W L D

14th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid on 05 May 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Arsenal are currently 1st with 24 points after 8 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 14th with 13 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Arsenal, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Madrid have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2026-05-05

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

2026-05-05 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/05/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

29/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Arsenal

UEFA CL

21/10/2025 19:00

Arsenal

4 - 0

Atletico Madrid

UEFA CL

26/07/2018 11:35

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Arsenal

ICC

03/05/2018 19:05

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Arsenal

UEFA EL

26/04/2018 19:05

Arsenal

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

UEFA EL

01/08/2009 15:15

Arsenal

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid

Emirates S

Arsenal

33%

Draw

50%

Atletico Madrid

17%

Arsenal Last 6 matches

02/05/2026 16:30

Arsenal 3 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

29/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

25/04/2026 16:30

Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

19/04/2026 15:30

Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

15/04/2026 19:00

Arsenal 0 - 0 Sporting CP UEFA CL

11/04/2026 11:30

Arsenal 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

02/05/2026 14:15

Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

29/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal UEFA CL

25/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

22/04/2026 17:00

Elche 3 - 2 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

18/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad SPA CUP

14/04/2026 19:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Goals

Scored

597

Avg. per game

1.99

Conceded

277

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored

546

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

252 (84%)48 (16%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

247 (82%)53 (18%)

Arsenal

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Arsenal

Total shots

14.75 avg / game

Blocked

1177 total

Avg. 4.56

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Arsenal Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

141711

Avg. 497 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arsenal

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

123

Clean sheets

0.33

6.04

1812

Corners

1535

5.12

15.31

4592

Throw-ins

4994

16.65

1.73

520

Offsides

653

2.18

2.07

622

GK saves

759

2.53

Arsenal

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.54

461

644

2.15

0.05

0.13

9.91

2974

Fouls

3320

11.07

12.29

3688

Tackles

4100

13.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid on 05 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arsenal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Arsenal and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Champions League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less