Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Arema FC

L D W L D

10th place in Indonesia Super League

1-1

28/04/2025 04:30

Persebaya Surabaya

W D D D D

4th place in Indonesia Super League

Indonesia Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya on 28 April 2025 (kick-off: 04:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya preview before placing your bet.

Arema FC are currently 10th with 47 points after 34 matches.
Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Arema FC to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Persebaya Surabaya, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Arema FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

04:30

2025-04-28

Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya - Prediction & Odds

Arema FC

Persebaya Surabaya

2025-04-28 04:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Persib Bandung	69	34	19	12	3	60	33	27
02 Dewa United FC	61	34	17	10	7	65	33	32
03 Malut United	57	34	15	12	7	48	33	15
04 Persebaya Surabaya	56	34	15	11	8	41	38	3
05 Borneo FC	56	34	16	8	10	50	38	12
06 PSM Makassar	53	34	13	14	7	47	34	13
07 Persija Jakarta	51	34	14	9	11	47	38	9
08 Bali United	50	34	14	8	12	50	41	9
09 PSBS Biak	48	34	13	9	12	44	47	-3
10 Arema FC	47	34	13	8	13	53	51	2
11 Persita Tangerang	43	34	12	7	15	32	43	-11
12 Persik Kediri	41	34	10	11	13	40	42	-2
13 Semen Padang	36	34	9	9	16	38	60	-22
14 Persis Solo FC	36	34	9	9	16	34	46	-12
15 Madura United	36	34	10	6	18	36	58	-22
16 PSS Sleman	34	34	11	4	19	43	50	-7
17 Barito Putera	34	34	8	10	16	42	57	-15
18 PSIS Semarang	25	34	6	7	21	29	57	-28

Head To Head

07/12/2024 04:30

Persebaya Surabaya

3 - 2

Arema FC

IDN ISL

27/03/2024 09:30

Arema FC

0 - 1

Persebaya Surabaya

IDN ISL

23/09/2023 04:00

Persebaya Surabaya

3 - 1

Arema FC

IDN ISL

11/04/2023 09:30

Persebaya Surabaya

1 - 0

Arema FC

IDN ISL

01/10/2022 09:00

Arema FC

2 - 3

Persebaya Surabaya

IDN ISL

23/02/2022 09:45

Persebaya Surabaya

1 - 0

Arema FC

IDN ISL

Arema FC

Draw

Persebaya Surabaya

100%

Arema FC Last 6 matches

24/04/2025 08:00

Arema FC 0 - 1 Madura United IDN ISL

20/04/2025 04:30

Persita Tangerang 3 - 2 Arema FC IDN ISL

13/03/2025 09:30

Arema FC 4 - 2 Barito Putera IDN ISL

09/03/2025 09:30

Persija Jakarta 1 - 3 Arema FC IDN ISL

04/03/2025 08:30

Malut United 2 - 1 Arema FC IDN ISL

24/02/2025 04:30

Arema FC 2 - 2 PSIS Semarang IDN ISL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Persebaya Surabaya

20/04/2025 08:00

Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 Madura United IDN ISL

12/04/2025 08:00

Persija Jakarta 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya IDN ISL

12/03/2025 09:30

Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 1 PSIS Semarang IDN ISL

07/03/2025 09:30

PSM Makassar 0 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya IDN ISL

01/03/2025 09:30

Persebaya Surabaya 4 - 1 Persib Bandung IDN ISL

21/02/2025 08:00

Dewa United FC 2 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya IDN ISL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Indonesia Super League

Played games

Arema FC

Persebaya Surabaya

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

26 (76%)8 (24%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

26 (76%)8 (24%)

Arema FC

Recent matches

Persebaya Surabaya

Under /Over

(79%)27 7(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)24 10(29%)

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)10 24(71%)

Under /Over

(59%)20 14(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

/Yes

(65%)22 12(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)19 15(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arema FC

Persebaya Surabaya

Shots

Arema FC

Total shots

9.91 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Persebaya Surabaya

Total shots

10.41 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Arema FC Pass Persebaya Surabaya

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arema FC

Played games

Persebaya Surabaya

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.29

4.76

162

Corners

182

5.35

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.00

3.06

104

GK saves

124

3.65

Arema FC

DISCIPLINARY

Persebaya Surabaya

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.29

2.50

0.06

0.18

14.09

479

Fouls

406

11.94

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya on 28 April 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Indonesia Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arema FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Persebaya Surabaya's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Indonesia Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Indonesia Super League standings and the Indonesia Super League form table to understand exactly where Arema FC and Persebaya Surabaya sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Indonesia Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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