Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 January

Arba Minch

L W W L L

20th place in Ethiopia Premier League

2-3

25/01/2026 09:00

Fasil Kenema

L L W W L

4th place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema on 25 January 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema preview before placing your bet.

Arba Minch are currently 20th with 35 points after 38 matches.
Fasil Kenema sit 4th with 55 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 34%.
Head-to-head history favors Arba Minch, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Fasil Kenema have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2026-01-25

Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema - Prediction & Odds

Arba Minch

Fasil Kenema

2026-01-25 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 25/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Head To Head

01/03/2025 11:00

Arba Minch

1 - 0

Fasil Kenema

ETH PR

29/10/2024 12:00

Fasil Kenema

0 - 1

Arba Minch

ETH PR

08/05/2023 11:00

Fasil Kenema

1 - 1

Arba Minch

ETH PR

19/11/2022 09:00

Arba Minch

1 - 1

Fasil Kenema

ETH PR

26/04/2022 08:00

Arba Minch

0 - 1

Fasil Kenema

ETH PR

27/11/2021 11:00

Fasil Kenema

1 - 1

Arba Minch

ETH PR

Arba Minch

33%

Draw

50%

Fasil Kenema

17%

Arba Minch Last 6 matches

21/01/2026 09:00

Shire Endaselassie FC 1 - 0 Arba Minch ETH PR

17/01/2026 06:00

Arba Minch 0 - 2 Mekelakeya ETH PR

08/01/2026 09:00

Sidama Bunna 0 - 0 Arba Minch ETH PR

03/01/2026 11:00

Arba Minch 0 - 0 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

29/12/2025 08:00

Wolaita Dicha 0 - 0 Arba Minch ETH PR

24/12/2025 08:00

Arba Minch 0 - 2 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC ETH PR

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Fasil Kenema

16/01/2026 06:00

Sheger Ketema 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR

10/01/2026 09:00

Fasil Kenema 0 - 2 Ethiopia Bunna ETH PR

03/01/2026 06:00

Adama City 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR

29/12/2025 06:00

Fasil Kenema 1 - 0 Ethio Electric FC ETH PR

24/12/2025 09:00

Bahir Dar Kenema FC 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR

20/12/2025 09:00

Fasil Kenema 1 - 0 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Played games

Goals

Scored

124

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

137

Avg. per game

1.07

Scored

209

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 128 matches

YesNo

76 (59%)52 (41%)

In last 128 matches

NoYes

131 (72%)52 (28%)

Arba Minch

Recent matches

Fasil Kenema

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(9%)4 41(91%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Arba Minch

Fasil Kenema

Shots

Arba Minch

Total shots

9.18 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 3.00

Fasil Kenema

Total shots

9.28 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 2.50

Arba Minch Pass Fasil Kenema

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Arba Minch

128

Played games

Fasil Kenema

183

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.42

3.38

433

Corners

749

4.09

0.72

Throw-ins

0.54

0.62

Offsides

0.28

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Arba Minch

DISCIPLINARY

Fasil Kenema

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

262

392

2.14

0.11

0.11

2.67

342

Fouls

346

1.89

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema on 25 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arba Minch's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fasil Kenema's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arba Minch and Fasil Kenema sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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