APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

APOEL Nicosia

W W D D W

1st place in League

1-1

11/05/2024 11:59

AEK Larnaca

W W D L W

3rd place in League

Cyprus 1 Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca preview before placing your bet.

APOEL Nicosia are currently 1st with 59 points after 26 matches.
AEK Larnaca sit 3rd with 52 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: APOEL Nicosia to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors APOEL Nicosia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. AEK Larnaca have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:59

2024-05-11

APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca - Prediction & Odds

APOEL Nicosia

AEK Larnaca

2024-05-11 11:59

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 APOEL Nicosia	59	26	18	5	3	54	16	38
02 Aris Limassol	56	26	18	2	6	53	21	32
03 AEK Larnaca	52	26	15	7	4	44	26	18
04 AEP Paphos	50	26	15	5	6	48	20	28
05 Omonia Nicosia FC	49	26	14	7	5	49	30	19
06 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	47	26	14	5	7	38	23	15
07 Apollon Limassol FC	38	26	10	8	8	37	27	10
08 Nea Salamis	36	26	10	6	10	34	39	-5
09 AEL Limassol	30	26	9	3	14	34	45	-11
10 Ethnikos Achnas FC	26	26	6	8	12	39	56	-17
11 Karmiotissa Polemidion	20	26	5	5	16	31	53	-22
12 AE Zakakiou	16	26	2	10	14	28	59	-31
13 Othellos Athienou	15	26	3	6	17	20	52	-32
14 Doxa Katokopias	12	26	3	3	20	14	56	-42

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 AEK Larnaca	73	10	6	3	1	13	5	8
02 APOEL Nicosia	73	10	4	2	4	9	8	1
03 Omonia Nicosia FC	69	10	6	2	2	13	7	6
04 Aris Limassol	65	10	2	3	5	10	13	-3
05 AEP Paphos	62	10	3	3	4	12	13	-1
06 Anorthosis Famagusta FC	53	10	1	3	6	8	19	-11

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Apollon Limassol FC	66	14	8	4	2	27	11	16
02 AEL Limassol	54	14	6	6	2	27	23	4
03 Nea Salamis	51	14	4	3	7	18	22	-4
04 Ethnikos Achnas FC	50	14	7	3	4	31	23	8
05 Karmiotissa Polemidion	40	14	5	5	4	27	24	3
06 Doxa Katokopias	35	14	7	2	5	20	21	-1
07 Othellos Athienou	33	14	5	3	6	28	25	3
08 AE Zakakiou	18	14	0	2	12	12	41	-29

Head To Head

31/03/2024 10:00

AEK Larnaca

1 - 2

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

05/02/2024 13:00

APOEL Nicosia

2 - 2

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

05/11/2023 11:59

AEK Larnaca

0 - 3

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

14/05/2023 11:59

APOEL Nicosia

2 - 1

AEK Larnaca

CYP D1

03/04/2023 11:59

AEK Larnaca

2 - 2

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

28/01/2023 11:00

AEK Larnaca

2 - 1

APOEL Nicosia

CYP D1

APOEL Nicosia

50%

Draw

33%

AEK Larnaca

17%

APOEL Nicosia Last 6 matches

28/04/2024 11:59

Omonia Nicosia FC 1 - 0 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

21/04/2024 12:30

APOEL Nicosia 2 - 0 Aris Limassol CYP D1

14/04/2024 10:00

AEP Paphos 0 - 2 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

07/04/2024 10:00

APOEL Nicosia 0 - 2 Anorthosis Famagusta FC CYP D1

31/03/2024 10:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 2 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

16/03/2024 10:00

APOEL Nicosia 0 - 1 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AEK Larnaca

28/04/2024 11:59

AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Anorthosis Famagusta FC CYP D1

21/04/2024 11:59

AEK Larnaca 2 - 0 Omonia Nicosia FC CYP D1

14/04/2024 11:59

Aris Limassol 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

06/04/2024 12:30

AEK Larnaca 3 - 0 AEP Paphos CYP D1

31/03/2024 10:00

AEK Larnaca 1 - 2 APOEL Nicosia CYP D1

17/03/2024 11:00

Anorthosis Famagusta FC 0 - 1 AEK Larnaca CYP D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Cyprus 1 Division

Played games

Goals

Scored

442

Avg. per game

1.47

Conceded

285

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

461

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

222 (74%)78 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

229 (76%)71 (24%)

APOEL Nicosia

Recent matches

AEK Larnaca

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

APOEL Nicosia

AEK Larnaca

Shots

APOEL Nicosia

Total shots

11.71 avg / game

Blocked

93 total

Avg. 3.21

AEK Larnaca

Total shots

11.49 avg / game

Blocked

116 total

Avg. 2.58

APOEL Nicosia Pass AEK Larnaca

Total passes

3219

Avg. 402 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

9130

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

APOEL Nicosia

300

Played games

AEK Larnaca

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

118

Clean sheets

110

0.37

4.95

1486

Corners

1488

4.96

2.53

760

Throw-ins

1084

3.61

0.62

185

Offsides

248

0.83

1.66

498

GK saves

572

1.91

APOEL Nicosia

DISCIPLINARY

AEK Larnaca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.15

645

558

1.86

0.12

0.08

6.28

1884

Fouls

1824

6.08

0.35

104

Tackles

225

0.75

NEXT MATCHES

Anorthosis Famagusta FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Cyprus 1 Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

APOEL Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess APOEL Nicosia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AEK Larnaca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Cyprus 1 Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Cyprus 1 Division standings and the Cyprus 1 Division form table to understand exactly where APOEL Nicosia and AEK Larnaca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Cyprus 1 Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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